LP08

It's been a crazy Feb. Frustrating for sure, been close to a real nice stretch for us down here, but I'm over the sleet and freezing rain. It's funny, today has the most ice on the trees of the winter lol.

I think I can speak for most that I have had my fill of 30 degree "winter precipitation".

Decent glaze on trees in N. Arlington. Mod ZR and 30°

You may not like it, but you’ll track no doubt!

Sorry for the sleet

Not sure I’ve ever seen this map before...

I think that's the first MJO plot I have seen this entire winter. Haven't missed it.

Wooo snow!

Never meant to attack and I don't think we are actually arguing different points. My feeling all along with this storm was needing to max precip from 5-10 am. Most models, including the Nams gave decent precip in that time frame. The warm nose, even here, was washing out under heavy returns but couldn't sustain them. The warm nose was real but it was really there on all models. Most soundings i looked at were right on the edge. The problem was the max in that morning timeframe went north and by the time the secondary max moved through, we were toast anyway. Maybe I am taking your points the wrong way and I apologize. Just trying to discuss a "post mortem" so to speak.

They mentioned speed, but not qpf that i can find. Look, i think we can both agree the Nam was correct in honking the warm layer, but all guidance was pretty poor with precip.

We are discussing the storm, right? Precip was the issue, especially this morning. I don't doubt the warm nose at all and was never expecting big snow amounts, but precip will be way underdone. The "pros" still thought that some accumulation would happen. It was a miss of the big precip.

This 0z nam? For whatever reason, events just dry up as they happen.

This...might be off a smidge.

Problem here was precip this morning. All of that got shifted to where PSU is since he got like 5 overnight. Most models had the cities around .3 by 12z. DCA recorded 0.07.

I have about 0.4" of sleet (probably being generous). Incredibly frustrating to have missed out consistently on heavier precip. I can't imagine DCA will measure greater than half of what was forecasted for total precip.

Really excited to see the total precip once this is over. The claw is real.

Definitely more flakes mixing in N Arlington

It’s a warzone out there.

White asteroids. Wild

Huge sleet pellets in N Arlington. And some flakes!

I was excited for some frozen precip. Still holding out hope that the stuff SW hits us.

Can confirm here...All the sleets

Your 6cm call for us was too aggressive lol