Nam drops over 1.2" of precip in like 9 hours. It's decently cold up above but we would be relying on dynamically cooling the surface. That always works out except when it doesn't.
Gfs doesn’t split the PV as much as previous runs. Parks it right over just north of the Great Lakes. Looks pretty primed for a storm post 180 as wentz has been point out.
I agree whole heartedly. We don't need record cold. As long as its not 38 in Pittsburgh when a storm is approaching. Everything looks good in loading to source region with deep cold. Better than any point so far.