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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. GFS colder than 12z. Deform looks to hit DC and NE
  2. It always comes down to unrealistic expectations based on some Kuchera Snow map from range. I guarantee people still have that 30"+ euro run in their head and everything thing else is a disappointment. It happens every time we have a storm thread. It's annoying but it is what it is. Guidance looks pretty good for a very snowy day SUnday and I'm pretty stoked about it.
  3. Freezing line stays just east of 95 before crashing once the coastal takes over at 12z Monday. 850s are still issue however.
  4. Northern friends will like the tick north on the NAM.
  5. I’m telling friends 3-6 through Sunday and to flush ice cubes Sunday night for an additional 3-6 on Monday.
  6. Yeah. Main WAA goes through central va. Deform is dc and ne
  7. Ukie is a central va jack with the WAA and deform through the area
  8. Gefs mean temps are quite warm. Over 1.2” of precip but barely 6” on the snow mean. I know we shouldn’t use mean temps but its something.
  9. I’m not as smart as most here but here is the CMC at 500. Seems like a suspicious Max vorticity that draws everything further north comparing to 12z. Maybe someone smarter can chime in.
  10. Just this panel alone. A strengthening storm off the coast and this is the northwest side of the precip?
  11. Thump, dry slot, deform. Sign me up
  12. Sleet line almost to dc by hour 72 on the NAM FWIW. Noticeably north from 18z.
  13. Need some omegas in my life.
  14. EPS a smidge south of 12z through 84
  15. When has a ccb set up over dc and not through the “deathband cooridoor”. I can’t think of that ever happening. It will be where it will always be.
  16. Just think, you might get out of the dreaded Ellinwood Grey. Can you imagine that!?
  17. Mod Snow 18z sunday. SLP S. Indiana.
  18. Steadier snow breaking out by 12z. Almost identical to the 0z position for the SLP.
  19. Through 60. Euro is a little quicker and 2mb stronger with the primary entering MO
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