LP08

Do you know their resolution compared to the OPs? Everything looks “smoother” and since this is such a delicate balance of wave interactions, I do wonder if that’s why they are west comparatively.

Both AI models (euro and gfs) are wester than everything right now. A good test to see how those perform.

I’m just hoping to get some real qpf with this upcoming pattern. I hope this period doesn’t result to the same 75 mile wide “win zone” of 0.2” of precip fluctuating each run we have been dealing with the past few years.

So the NAM has snow for Sunday FYI.

Ai gfs insists for Sunday as well

Icon is east of east lol

The base of the trough is so much further west than all other guidance at 78. Toggle compare the runs. https://beta.pivotalweather.com/models/nam/500hv/conus?run=2026011512&forecastHour=75

The base is a bit more west but don't love out front of it with the compression of heights through 57.

I'm older too and even I KNOW he shouldn't be using that lol

Just wide right but a nice move west.

Icon gets snow to dc-east.

Looks like the “kicker/wave spacing” piece in Canada shifted north some giving the southern piece more room to tilt.

Anybody got the H5 euro maps? Curious to see what trended in our favor and what to look for. Pivotal is down for me.

definitely wasn’t saying one or the other was correct. Someone said it looked like the gfs so I had to look. Yes the ridge out west may be a smidge taller, but in the grand scheme of things, the larger scale trough was progressive and not what we would need.

Unfortunately I agree, pretty damn close honestly. Not close to the GFS.