LP08

I think the positive was the backside sw coming in like the rgem showed at the end of its run. Trying to phase instead of “kick”

Damn, Raliegh has been 20+ on Kuchera since 6z yesterday.

Weenie me all you want and hopefully someone smarter will tell me I'm wrong, but i'd argue, at the end of the RGEM run that NS wave coming in out west is coming at an advantageous angle to maybe not kick but to actually help.

I like the trough orientation better than 6z with less press out front.

Lets try and get the H5 cutoff from diving into the extreme SE and keep it moving across NC at least. I would feel more confident then. Lots of vorts flying around through Canada helping supress that feature on various models.

H5 over Atlanta is tough to get us up here.

AIgfs dives the H5 low too far south then shunts it east. Better and more west early on in the run

AIgfs with similar positive changes…

Ridge out west is also a tick west with better amplitude

Starting to wrap up in western TN is pretty close to good

Nahh…for up here you want it rolling right along the NC/VA border. Look up 2016 at h5. That’s where it went.

Come on now.

Need to know the difference between a "Mega Subscription" and a "Super Subscription"....hahaha

Ill start the Hopium 12z run. Icon looks improved through 60.

We got caught up the last storm cause it was so cold coming into it. WAA events are notorious for us to under perform for ratios. @MN Transplantbasically had 10-1 for the snow push in the morning. Coastals are better but again, unless we are deformed to death I’m never assuming anything more than 12-1 at most.