LP08

12z Euro into Wilmington, NC. Not much rain for the Saturday Night - Sunday morning deal but better trajectory for impacts from Imelda.

Crazy part is that's Monday! Went from no storm at all at 12z yesterday to a Cat 1-2 landfall coming in 3.5 -4 days. I don't envy forecasters. What a very complex and tricky set up with the different interactions. I know the forecast discussions have been harping it but for the general population, could be quite a shock to wake up to hurricane watches potentially Saturday morning.

Pretty cool trends...unfortunately gets stuck in SC

12z GFS shows a weaker Umberto and stronger future Imelda through 72. Has more rain Saturday Night into Sunday than 6z...

6z EURO is very wet Saturday afternoon into the overnight.

0z euro would up the fun meter vs the last several months.

Euro with 2-3" of rain through Monday. GFS less than 1"

GFS says what rain? Develops 93L and recurves and does very little with 94L

ICON as well now.

Not a Bears fan but read somewhere this morning that when he is pressured and starts to run, he doesn't look like he has control of his arms and legs. Just complete panic and I kinda laughed thinking back at watching it, lol. Commanders are so lucky JD5 was there at 2.

Just an insane amount of lightning over here in Arlington. Non stop.

One of the better couplets of the day..

That one south of La Plata looks close..probably needs a warning soon

Be easier to do just one color, say 25% and say 0-10

Not as strong with the SS and little more disconnected from the NS…it’s time