weatherwiz

I could certainly potential for 4-8'' on the Cape if this thing materializes. Should it materialize there is going to be some serious lift to work with. Yeah...what makes it difficult now is it is still rather broad Accidents all over 84

At this point though we can probably put the models on the back burner and just focus on mesoanalysis. The models are hinting extremely well at what will transpire...just some differences into where those results are You can see where the 850 fronto is beginning to develop and how this will probably orientate and eventually pivot: Now 700 will probably start becoming further developed as the system strengthens but you can also start to see where this will be There are some pretty dang steep mlvl lapse rates too with the H5 low and some pockets of instability so convective elements and convection should continue to fire off the coast...something that's also going to play a big roll. Also setting up some great sfc fronto. Once we have all this fronto aligned we'll see a sick band transpire

I like how I don't have to break my neck to see this! The torture

Nope...only limited products available. Oh well. Could maybe shoot him a tweet and ask (or recommend) if new products will be coming. From what I've heard he's pretty open to suggestions.

I'll see if it's on Ryan Maue's site. Hopefully I won't break my neck

Cape has potential Yeah we'll continue to see some periods of snow through the day with varying intensity. I also think much of the state (particularly central and eastern) will get a bust of some pretty heavy snow tonight...unfortunately it's on the brief side so accumulations will be kept at a minimum...maybe 1-3'' with a few lucky spots/slant stickers picking up 4'' I'll try to find a Ukie 700vv map

Let's do something besides snow maps... 12z runs continuing to indicate potential for a pretty hefty band to rapidly develop and traverse the region...and maxing across extreme eastern MA and the Cape. Also some definite potential for thunder/lightning

It’s snowing in Branford

It's going to be pretty close tonight. The mlvls look good enough that there should be a decent band that develops...only problem is it may be rather narrow and I think it's going to be a race between that becoming established and occlusion happening. I think CT is kinda screwed with round 2...maybe NW corner (shocker) gets into some of the goods with banding that develops eastern NY into N NJ

Sometimes it's tough to pick up. I remember growing up I used to think I would hear thundersnow and I would run around and go outside...only to find out it was the plow

Very close to you

I thought we would see some with this!!!! hahahaha

Friend of mine lives in New Hartford and it's snow there. As snow lightened up here in Branford I am hearing some pings. I'll be walking outside soon to grab beer/pizza for Bruins/Pats so hopefully we're back to snow. Hate pinging on the face

Huge flakes in Branford...everything coated up

Better idea... I'm going to go to Danbury and party tonight. The NAM and GFS have me visually upset...I am angered. I'm so sick of this crap. If things trend back to the other direction I can always come to Branford in the AM.

my job would pay for the room. I would probably pay one night though (tonight ) and have them cover tomorrow night. The motel 6 up the street is only about $60/night. My main issue is I have to leave about 4:45 AM...probably earlier given roads and if we do get measurable snow at BDL and anything ices up...I'm not sure when our association does snow removal.

If we go through December without anything that will be fired up

Hell...at this point I'm even debating whether I should just go back to BDL and not even get a hotel room. Although...I was more worried about what happens tomorrow into Monday.

Well the CCB tries to crank briefly here but that dry slot is racing in. It's not even December yet and I'm already tired of winter

It's possible though something like that may be related to contouring or something...I doubt (or would hope anyways) that this wouldn't really impact the output of the model at all. Since it's more of an elongated low it's probably just picking coordinates where pressure is lowest (????)

I don't think it can be totally discounted if such an intense materialized...there would be some serious subsidence and with dry air involved and no lift...going to be tough to generate precip. Anyways...let's not forget this front end...we could do extremely well with that. Look at the NAMNEST (18z) for BDL...that's some serious lift into the DZG prior to the flip.

Thankfully we are still like ~40 hours away from when this second part materializes so there is still plenty of wiggle room. If everything continues to align in this direction though with overnight guidance it will be extremely concerning.

Certainly buy the dry slot...just not sure to this extent.

just N or NW of the lows...which on cod it didn't really appear that way. Look at the 700VV on Cod...has the strongest within the 282m contour. Anyways I think its more of a contour thing...looks like cod does every 3m and TT does every 4m...so adding in an extra contour on Cod I suppose it's fine. But regarding the posts about the snow hole in CT...CT sucks on serious subsidence/dry air on the NAM

Is rime factor only available in AWIPS?