weatherwiz

Does anyone here have Bufkit and wouldn’t mind posting a screen shot of hodograph with the CAPE values from whatever the latest HRRR run is for BDL at 12z tomorrow? Not at a computer for a while. Would be much apprecciated!

Be safe!

Guess they're worried about expected coverage of activity. Considering the past few days though I think coverage should certainly be there. Ingredients may not be as favorable as the past few days 9CAPE or shear not as high) but still sufficient. Still around 40+ knots of 0-6km shear which favors supercell structures. Also some pretty solid 0-3km MLCape values as well.

Certainly need to watch eastern NY near the VT border, southern VT, and southern NH later today. Can't rule out a tornado.

Looking at the models for next week and you just have to feel bad for the west coast...seems like they have been under very strong ridging for nearly two months. The wild fire situation is getting out of control and given the pattern through next week it will only get worse. So heartbreaking just seeing what's unfolding on the news. the story about the grandfather just running an errand and having to hear his family die on the phone was horrific.

The potential is certainly intriguing and certainly needs to be watched. It's such a difficult forecast and I have had several people ask me about tomorrow with some people traveling and having outdoor activities. Does anyone remember a similar type of setup several years back? Want to say like 2012 or 2013 or something? Not the day that produced the tornadoes (I don't think we had any this day) but an MCV tracked like right over CT but it happened just a bit too early (late morning) and we weren't able to sufficiently destabilize. But even like strong convective showers had weak rotation lol.

Guess there’s some damage reports right where that couplet was. Numerous trees and wires downed

The terminal radar at JFK picked it up quite well! Saw Ryan’s tweet and I also learned something on Radarscope! You can do a capture of the animation. So I played with it and was able to see what Ryan posted. Wish it would let me upload it but I can only do 1.95mb ughhh. I’ll figure something out

That TOR for Queens seems awfully weak. What was nROT spitting out? EDIT: just saw Ryan’s tweet...a couple scans of pretty impressive couplet/velocity

That’s so awesome he was able to be in that position!

My friend from Walpole, NH took some video from the July 28th. He was really intrigued by some lowering on the right hand side. The aspect of this time lapse with the amazing look of the structure begins around 26 seconds He also said in the photo that if you look at the lowering on the risk you see something dark lurking in the rain and was wondering if that could have been the beginning of the microburst? He also mentioned a few things about the damage...said that the trees on County Rd fell in the opposite direction than the trees on Kingsbury Rd. He said when he was on Barnett Hill he felt a wind shift as well...I think that

You're welcome. Those are the ones too where if you get hit by that...you're toast.

the CG's on the backside are the worst b/c they're typically +CG strikes (I believe) which are the most dangerous. But that's exactly what happened here. I'm still freaked out. I parked my car on the street in front of my house and as I get out I hear thunder off to the west-southwest and I wondered if something else popped. I checked the radar and saw it was (guess anyways) from a cell over Middletown. I debated on taking up the trash can but figured I'd do it later since I have to go back outside. I walk into my house and as soon as I close the door I saw an incredibly bright flash which lasted a couple seconds and instantly heard the crash. The house shook. I sort of peered out windows to see if I could notice anything hit but didn't see anything. I tried going outside a few times but as soon as I stepped foot outside I ran back in. After I'm done working I'll take a walk around.

“Closest” TOR today might be over Ware. Very broad but worth watching

Even a tiny hook with it

Wow interesting looking

I heard the crash before the flash even went away

Holy ****...walked in my house, saw a huge flash though the curtains and then a major crash. Something got hit. That scared the crap out of me

Ahhh finally the strike showed up on RadarScope. Something hit not all too far from here.

There’s this one stupid tree at the golf course I wish would come down. Blocks a great view

CG’s within the past few minutes from the SW

And one strengthening to the southwest!!! It’s like watching Miley Cyrus to the north and Taylor Swift is to the southwest!!!

Cloud features suggest this is close to severe. Well defined gust front. Wish I could directly load a pic here but it’s too big

Looks like a really nice lowering with this and a nice gust front!

The rains gotta be quite intense with these. Yesterday was pretty insane