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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Interesting b/c when I was listening to the radio earlier...I could be wrong here but I thought there was somebody on talking about the damage photos and from what it looked like there were not a ton of pics showing trees mangled in wires.
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Let's also remember...even after the Oct 2011 snowstorm it was days before they finally asked for out-of-state help. I believe ES stated today they wouldn't be seeking out-of-state help. I just have a hard time buying they did not receive any information indicating this potential. T
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I actually came across this website today poweroutage.us Gives a national overview of power outages and if you click on each state you can also get a break down of the percent of customers within each county out. For example, this is what it is currently showing for NJ
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I think that's B.S. CL&P tried to do the same thing after the October 2011 snowstorm...saying they were given incorrect forecast...they were heavily exposed. They were given warning about what was to happen and were told to start bringing in crews from out of state days before...they elected not to. I don't buy for a second they were given the wrong forecast. I mean the freaking cone of uncertainty changed very little from several days out. There was a freaking TS forecast to come up the coast...WTF did people think were going to happen? I would bet anything they were given forecasts indicating how bad winds would be and also given recommendations of what to do. If there is someone or people who can't comprehend what a few hour period of 50-60 mph wind gusts with sustained probably 20-30 would do...then they should not be in the position of making decisions. All you have to do is look at what seconds of 50-60 mph winds do during thunderstorms...if it doesn't click what hours of that would do then those individuals need to be doing something else.
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I might not have refreshed the page but from what I'm now seeing there are 679,407 without power. When I had made the post it was just under 700K...but I might not have refreshed. Anyways...I don't know the exact number at peak but thought it was around 730K? Anyways when you look at what NY and NJ have been able to do that's pathetic...and this isn't the first time something like this happened either. I forget which one of Oct Snow/Sandy/Irene but the difference between power restoration along the CT/MA border was laughable. But anyways...NJ was hit way harder than CT...they had 1.3 or 1.4 million without power I think...outages are down to 688K
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I can almost promise that internally they were made aware of the potential that existed and were given enough guidance to be prepared for the worst. When NJ restores nearly 800K within a day and we can barely restore 50K...that's an issue. Even on Long Island they restored quite a bit.
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I bet they just didn't properly prepare for this...either once again disregarded forecasts or were fed just wrong information. Great info, thanks! Days out it was becoming obvious wind was going to be a significant issue here in CT. Anyone who had the expectation rain would be greater than wind here in CT clearly; 1) Were misinformed but whichever source they receive their weather information from 2) Just did not understand this setup or the processes which would result in widespread wind damage I know at least Ryan days before started sounding the alarm on the wind potential. Even before it looked that bad...it was still looking like gusts 30-50 mph...ok yes...sure we get that every year but not during early August when trees are fully leaved. It's the same notion that occurred during the October snowstorm...people downplaying it saying "we get several inches of heavy, wet snow every winter and it doesn't do damage"...only but how often when trees are fully leaved?
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It's just outrageous. I'm serious too...I saw zero utility crews out today...not a single one. I saw plenty of DPW workers though...removing debris out of streets, getting trees/limbs from side of roads. Good job on filing the complaint...I hope they get nailed. I couldn't imagine getting a bill that was that much higher...I bet there were some people who probably nearly had heart attacks.
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But the fact that it doesn't even appear 50K have been restored is concerning...especially when NJ alone looks to have restored nearly 800,000. Hell, I even think LI has made decent progress. Now..sure there are other factors to consider...we have tons of trees and wooded areas so maybe there are grids that need to be replaced but the fact that anytime something major happens we seem to be behind surrounding states...and significantly...that's a problem. I've seen more DPW crews on the roads than I have utility workers.
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Eversource should be called out...they are nothing but money seeking frauds. They're already being investigated for the debacle about the significant increase in people's bills last month. There are people who opened their bills only to find it HUNDREDS of dollars higher than previous months...HUNDREDS. A friend of mine knows someone who's bill is usually around $200/month (they have a heated pool and hot tub)...their bill last month was $600. POS money scamming dirtbags
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Well I guess the question to that is...did they prepare for this? The big killer in Oct of 2011 was they virtually disregarded the forecasts given to them. So far there are just under 700K w/o power. NJ for comparison, which had over 1.4 million without power is down to 744,000 outages. They've restored more customers since this storm ended than CT has power outages.
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NY was nearly hit by two hurricanes yesterday
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Summer 2020 Banter and random observations
weatherwiz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Pretty much every storm this season with the exception of Hanna and Isaias has been mehhhh. Hell...weren't two of them named for like 2 hours lol -
You know what...looks like we do have some CAA in the mlvls. The TCU's I've seen have that look and after what you just posted I decided to take a look. The core is to our north but not bad
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Summer 2020 Banter and random observations
weatherwiz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I guess we can hope that it will last long enough to where by the time most people get it this can just fizzle out...and at the same time start becoming weaker. But obviously this leads to a ton of questions but it's just hope I suppose. -
ahhh I had forgotten about that. They got destroyed
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I just saw the NWS has mostly sunny skies at Newark tomorrow...odd.
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history always repeats
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maybe we'll get a blizzard hurricane tornadic producing system in November
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When they heard the news that the Seattle NHL expansion team was named the Seattle Kraken they left the state
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A 66-year old man was killed in Nagatuck, CT when a tree fell on him as he was removing debris from the road
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There is a beautiful TCU outside...gorgeous. Almost kinda looks like it could be a developing shower or t'storm
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Summer 2020 Banter and random observations
weatherwiz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
We can all just hope and pray that the phase 3 trials by Moderna/Oxford will yield great success and hopefully in the meantime additional treatments will have been found. Was reading something about some treatments in the works to help with antibody response. There is just no way the world can continue to operate the way we are. But the problem is as soon as you open up...boom. Something is going to have to give. Somehow...CT continues to just have this under control. It's gotta be pushing 4-5...maybe 6 weeks now where the daily percent of positive tests has been under one. There have only been a handful of days where it was just over 1. but bars/clubs can't open b/c the fear numbers will rise. Hospitalizations have been up/down...they did get as low as 53 I think but are just above 60 now. I know a few teachers...some have kids and they are petrified about going back to school. One of my friends who is around 30 is a teacher (no kids) but she has underlying health issues and lives with her grandfather and takes care of him who also has issues. I can't even imagine what parents/teachers are going through. There are huge arguments for both sides of the spectrum and the worst part is how the hell do you know which side is correct? -
I literally have zero clue how I got through the math...I mean I did the majority of the math at community college so maybe I got off easier (though I did have to re-take Calc III b/c I got a D and couldn't transfer it). I thought Physics was a million times harder...that I have absolute zero clue how I passed considering I failed every single test (I think lab grades and extra credit helped). Like I completely could not grasp the concept of physics...drawing those diagrams didn't help me one bit lol. I did wish I understood the math/theoretical aspect of things much better. But yeah...following the right people here...you'll learn more about forecasting than you will in school and it's not even close. I agree...it's frustrating during any event when people start declaring bust...not only the board but social media. Then discussion just starts going downhill
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I've learned a ton about tropical from you. I've honestly never really followed tropical or studied it so my knowledge is slim...I do follow Josh, Eric Webb, and a few others closely on Twitter when they discuss tropical so I've picked up on things but not nearly enough to where I have confidence discussing things. The only thing I really know is...it takes one helluva pattern to get one here and IDK if models show a hurricane striking 3-days out...if the pattern isn't supportive I'll write it off faster than a Trump bounced check. I'll never forget (3 years ago?) that hurricane models had hitting us...the one that fuji------ off the SE coast? One of my classmates needed new pants b/c he was going wild about it saying it was going to be a hit. It was like 3-days out, models showed it hitting and he said to me, "you still think it's going to be a miss?" I said, "yup". He said, "you're crazy" and ran out of the weather center saying he had to call and warm people...lol
