weatherwiz

Are there any good model products for forecasting or assisting with forecasting fog? On Ryan Maue's site he has a visibility product, but there has to be something which gives like fog probabilities or something.

Does this arrow showing the dry air moving northeast mean I'll see sun tomorrow?

Thank you. Just b/c one out of the 10000 events panned out at your location doesn't mean it's now not a death zone Does anyone know if this site is working? I've always had trouble generating the airmass trajectories. I think I've been able to do it once. https://www.ready.noaa.gov/hypub-bin/traj1.pl

Thank you all so much! It really means alot. Many of you here have played a tremendous part in where I am today. The feeling is great. And I am going to have my last 40 ever next Tuesday night

It's down in Branford right off 54. Called PeriShip. Not a bad area. It's a nice drive too from West Hartford, but it's brutal from Danbury. Luckily while I've been in school I work remotely and just go in on Friday, but once school is done I'll go in every day. I think in a few years or so I will look to move down that way (though not along the coast b/c t'storm death zone) but was thinking Hamden...nice jackpot for snow and severe Thank you.

I do and right here in CT. I started working there in April (was supposed to be an internship, but since they didn't have a meteorologist on staff it didn't qualify as an internship). I really enjoy it b/c it involves forecasting across the country and I've gained a ton of experience with weather outside of CT.

Yay tomorrow I present my senior research and then I basically just have two finals and that's it!!! I just hope I don't have any incomplete's on the MATLABS.

For those that use bufkit...I've been doing alot lately playing with those values next to the momentum transfer option (1, 10, 20, and 30). I know that they correlate to mixing strength and depth of the mixing layer, however, I don't really understand more beyond this and I've tried to find some information online. What do you want to be looking at and looking for when deciding which of the thresholds to use? The differences in terms of wind potential can be HUGE too. For example, at EWR tomorrow night...if you set the threshold at a 1 you get like no gust potential, however, if you set it at a 10 all of a sudden you're talking about 25-35 knot gusts.

Does anyone understand how to interpret TNI (Trans-Nino Index) and use it to classify an ENSO event as west-based or east-based? I read some papers on it, but I am still a bit confused. I understand that the TNI index takes the difference between SST's in the western and eastern PAC (measures the gradient).

I agree. I mean if this was going to be on a Monday I wouldn't be able to make it anyways. Would easily be 3 hours for me to get to Boston and by the time I would get there it would just be time to come back. I made it to the Monday one last year but traffic was a headache and I ended up paying $40 for parking. In addition to the holiday one I don't see why we can't just plan a spring/early summer one now on a Saturday and throw dates out.

ho ho ho

Many from Hartford on south are going to end up with 8-12''. Who would have thought ratios nearing 20:1? Still coming down decent too but doesn't look like the 2''/hr stuff that's been ongoing.

7'' on Westside Campus in Danbury. Been going like 2'' per hour since 4:30 or so. These ratios are freaking nuts.

The speed of this is going to hurt for higher potential totals but I think there is going to be a very narrow zone of incredibly heavy snow Friday morning...like 2-3'' per hour type stuff, but the band only sits for like a few hours or so.

Looks like we get two waves of activity? The first wave is tomorrow afternoon with WAA , but looks like there is room for something on Friday with developing/deepening sfc low? Was just looking at 6z GFS and it was quite interesting. Even NAM has something but not placed like the GFS. Haven't gotten to Euro yet.

I wish on Maue's site you could hover over to see values. Sort of tough to see but on the 18z Euro looks like 850's are still marginal? Also, anyone think H7 temps may be a little marginal as well? Was only seeing like -4 or -5? Thinking we could see a nice little thump of wintry stuff down this way on the onset (hopefully dry air won't be a problem), but probably quickly change over here

as much as inflation has gone up...since when I first started drinking 40's until now...they've only gone up like $.70 or so

I bet so many out there just want whichever provides the most model snowfall graphics lmao (not saying that about anyone from in here)

It's so not easy. The past 4-5 years I've been on the go legit 7-days a week...whether it would be classes, work, or sometimes both. Over the past 4-5 years if I have had 15-20 days where I didn't have to work or go to class I think I would be lucky. In the end though I guess the grind has been worth it...even though I probably took 20 years off my life lol. Luckily, I was able to not only land a weather forecasting job, but while I am still in school.

Man am I starting to freak out. I'm doing my "mid-way" senior research presentation Wednesday with my final presentation sometime in the first week of December and I only have 5-weeks left and then I am all...done for good (hopefully)

I recently purchased a subscription for Ryan Maue's models and it's not terrible. For $10 a month you can access to Euro products...I wish there were more products available but I'm sure this will continue growing over time. What I would love to see happen though is for the College of DuPage to perhaps considering exploring going a subscription route to incorporate Euro data as well. Their model interface and products they keep making available are just top notch. I can't stand though all these ridiculous model snowfall graphics...just such a waste.

From what I've gathered through various papers this seems to be a popular method.

Does anyone remember the date of the (I think it was a PDS) tornado watch in May of 2003 that turned into a bust?

The way this year has gone I'm expecting 2-3 tornadoes tomorrow lol. Seriously though...certainly some potential for some strong-to-severe thunderstorms. I would like to see 0-3km CAPE higher but 0-6km CAPE is decent so if we can utilize that there is plenty of wind shear to work with. I think we could see a line of strong-to-severe Saturday AM into PM across the Cape. Also, that is QUITE the vigorous s/w coming through Saturday. That thing means business. Even looks like a nice tropopause fold upcoming with it.