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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    A different type of naked. The GFS tends to overmix (while the NAM tends to undermix)...why this is IDK but it's kinda annoying actually but how often do you see wind potential like this in a synoptic event? That part of the country does synoptic wind events much better than we do but this is still quite impressive for them. Winter dynamics aloft with a spring environment at the sfc
  2. weatherwiz
    man that is going to be one crazy wind event in the Plains Wednesday. GFS may be overmixing a bit but some of the soundings are insane.
  3. weatherwiz
    maybe you stole their snow
  4. weatherwiz
    I got it too...I felt special but I did report it.
  5. weatherwiz
    Forecasting within the West can be so challenging. How do people do it lol.
  6. weatherwiz
    This broad meso has been going for a while. I bet there’s some wind damage occurring under it even a bit of a bow
  7. weatherwiz
    That’s a scary thought
  8. weatherwiz
    Now it’s damage time impressive stuff with that stuff as it went across NY
  9. weatherwiz
    Nice
  10. weatherwiz
    I was selling hot dogs
  11. weatherwiz
    Thunder in Springfield!!!
  12. weatherwiz
    I can't get over 500 m2/s2 of effective helicity juxtaposed with >1500 J/KG of MLCAPE and >100 J of 3km CAPE...it just seems unreal
  13. weatherwiz
    Yes. The event and it's potential were very well forecast!
  14. weatherwiz
    I think it's just a question of whether it was on the ground from it's initial warning point of near Jonesboro...may have to fully wait for survey but if it was then it will likely be official. Still can't believe this...so tragic
  15. weatherwiz
    no signs of slowing down
  16. weatherwiz
  17. weatherwiz
    Probably would be a miracle. NROT values exceeding 2
  18. weatherwiz
    Remarkable...really hope everyone is alright
  19. weatherwiz
    Really terrible and it's not going tp improve any over the next several hours.
  20. weatherwiz
    That is a large TDS over Mayfied....holy crap
  21. weatherwiz
    My God...500 m2/s2 effective helicity across western TN to go along w/greater than 100 J 0-3km CAPE and 2000 J/MLCape. That stuff is going to explode in western TN
  22. weatherwiz
    this is only getting started too
  23. weatherwiz
    Tornado emergency on that now
  24. weatherwiz
    23z RAP at MEM for 3z just ahead of that line of supercells before it approaches
  25. weatherwiz
    St. Louis may be in some trouble. I've been watching that cell down near Jonesboro. That is some inflow notch on it. Confirmed TOR with it...haven't noticed any TDS yet but this thing may becoming long tracked
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