weatherwiz

EF3 winds 140 mph in the Bensaem/Trevose area. Was most intense over the car dealership

Only 384-hours away!

Was it 2011 or 2012 when we had the vicious Arctic cold front move through around New Years Day? It was the year when the (then) Connecticut Whale did an outdoor hockey game in East Hartford which was a disaster. I think we actually got several inches of snow as well...don't remember when but I remember it cost them a fortune to remove the snow from the stadium. But I remember the front moving through the day before the game and the day of the game was BRUTAL. High's only in the teens and winds were gusting 30-40+ mph. The period leading up to that high's were 40's and 50's and I think a few days later we were back into that lol.

I hope winter is warm and dry...actually make that hot and dry...very, very, very dry. Dry enough so that there is no need for anyone anywhere on any social media platform to ever have to post a model snowfall map. hot enough and dry enough that images will have to be temperature departure and precipitation departure maps instead.

Heavy rain/flooding potential is absolutely on the table. Getting dews 65-70+ is going to be a bit difficult as modeled, especially since the models keep the highest theta-e offshore. I would also really like to see a more widespread area of 850 dews ~14C for dews to be that high as that would indicate sufficient low-level moisture. I can see dews getting into the 60's and mid-60's along the coast (maybe upper 60's along the immediate coast). Maybe Saturday could crank up the humidity

EML please....PLEASE....PLEASEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

the boundary (as modeled now) is off to our east. And if you get any low pressure development along it (which is very likely) and that boundary is east...we could get a crap day of northeasterly flow. maybe coast gets 65+ dews.

Certainly nothing impressive with dews coming this week...probably get back into the 60's mid-to-late week but even then maybe only lower 60's. Not much in the way of heat either...we probably just get back to seasonal levels but not much more than that. Huge questions of how far west that stalled boundary pushes so we're probably looking at the difference between ~80 with dews in the upper 50's and lower 80's and dews in the lower 60's with chances for showers/thunder. I suppose though the risk for some heavy rain can't be ruled out...maybe not widespread.

Insane

NJ again holy shit

Rotation is getting stronger too

Confirmed on the ground.

Holy crap on NJ near Trenton

most exciting thing is the transient rotation ~Milford

I know neither were supposed to...just illustrating that's what is going on and there isn't a heck of a lot popping up outside of what is currently moving across CT. Anything probably going to be rather isolated. Going to bust rather low on the rain side too with this

I suppose if stuff fires up but the radar is not very impressive. There's the heavy area of rain sliding across eastern NY into VT/NH which misses us then you have the rain with embedded supercells sliding east from PA to NJ and ticking CT coast. with the heaviest sliding to our south

Actually CT may be done by like 8 PM

well into the night is like 2-3 AM.

For CT it's not well into the night. For areas east of here it is...especially out by the Cape. That's where the best severe potential exists in SNE.

A taste of fall tomorrow night

overnight into early Friday??? Everything is out of here by mid-to-late evening...at the latest

There is a quite a bit of 3km CAPE around though greatest is SW. The window for that potential seems pretty small with that wall of precip off to the west...that's what is going to kill things. There is activity developing ahead of that batch but the best shear is still well west.