weatherwiz
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https://twitter.com/capeannweather/status/1383111321143672832?s=21
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Oddly shaped dry slot too which models did pretty well with. also a pretty impressive core of warmer temperatures with the 925 low...pocket of +6C popping up. Sure that is only adding to the influx of warm/moist air into the thing. Even a pocket of +3C at 850...while not much farther west -5C...that's not too bad of a E/W gradient
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check out these velocities feeding into the CCB. Very intense llvl jet! HRRR soundings are super unstable aloft
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I hate when I mistake the two. I used to almost fall out of bed thinking it was thundersnow about to run outside only for it to be a plow.
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SWEET!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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I think I am going to start a new game for this summer...or it's more of an Alert. The alert is called a CAPE alert and there will be different levels. This will look at 7-days out. Depending on the CAPE levels being modeled, an appropriate index level will be assigned. Here is an example. CAPE ALERT!!!!!!!! CAPE level: (need to make this) CAPE Values: > 3,000
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Beautiful
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Can I share this photo? I want to go on a rant to the point mentioned above. This is a perfect example.
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Two of the most ridiculous arguments in meteorology: 1) Ground is too warm 2) sun angle is too high While of course there is truth to that...you also have to understand what's an play. I can't stand when people dismiss accumulating snow right off the bat b/c of those two factors.
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I am shocked...but not shocked (I guess I feel indifferent) about how much sun there is in Branford right now. I am not shocked b/c the dry slot was well modeled but I am shocked at the degree of sun.
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Wooo
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That's actually gold
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what would the clown map version be for severe wx?
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Here we go with 925!!! dynamic cooling right on track
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Looks like 850 getting ready to close off probably not long after 925 does
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I can taste my beer so nope!
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looks like the RAP (just looking at the forward time intervals on mesoanalysis) wants to really close off H7 pretty far west and...well kinda a nasty dry slot that intrudes.
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I could be the face of the 2021-2022 season tix
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I'm getting legit tingles right now. Tracking a winter storm right now and also thinking that in one month...one month we could be tracking a severe threat. Kinda hard to breathe.
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the only apparel I have one is my Bruins jersey
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0z HRRR looking pretty good...gets NE CT to snow by midnight
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I was thinking like 2-3 AM for you but these next 2-3 hours should really tell us
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I wonder if Kevin can start to see a changeover around midnight...the 22z HRRR sort of argues for that.
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yeah very true.
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Despite being somewhat out of range the great consistency the HRRR has showed speaks alot of volumes. When the HRRR is that consistent for that long of a period it can be very difficult to beat
