weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Henri now playing peek-a-boo on the Northeast panel view on the 0z HRRR...getting in view soon
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If you have to drive through 95 during the storm I would advise against that. Parts of 95 flood horribly and I bet it would be disastrous with this
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Probably happen as the center nears CT. low pressure makes babies pop
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Staying pat on the 0z
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After Tomorrow?
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looks to have remained steady
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I don't think it can be discounted...but I am not a hurricane forecaster. I mostly rely on the model intensity guidance (which can be very iffy...especially in RI environments...this isn't one of those but I don't want to fully base something off a chart). Given the significance of that type of strengthening has on the outcome...it needs to be considered.
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If this does strengthen into a category 2 or a higher-end category 1 we are in very deep trouble here
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My friend who got a freelance job at Channel 8 is thinking of staying in Branford Sunday...I may join him!
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The NAM hitting a tropical system correctly is like the Toronto Maple Leafs winning a first round playoff series
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Henri is probably vaccinated
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yeah I don't see those crazy west bends happening either.
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Yup...and I still don't think this west shift is done. Really not finding much reason to believe otherwise. If we don't see a shift east with 0z tonight I don't think it will happen b/c with the special 18z balloon launches going on (if that is still a thing) you would think the ulvl trough is going to be sampled very well plus the 0z balloon launches.
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Also a couple members going happy in their pants
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Still with a big shift west.
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what products are you looking at to see tilt/stacked system?
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It's such a tough situation b/c you either have to play it up or downplay it right now...there is no in between. By the time we truly know how impactful or un-impactful this will be it will be too late to communicate and too late for people to prepare. That is the scariest part about tropical systems up this way...the lead time to properly prepare is just too little.
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I'm thinking gusts 70-80 mph along CT shoreline with gusts 40-50 mph inland (especially east of River) with 30-40 west. In french we call this "la damage"
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I'm gauging landfall either central or eastern Long Island. Bad news bears for CT. Trees either coming down or your floating down the road in a stream of water.
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GEFS really hinting at the slingshot NW
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Flooding could certainly be a pretty big issue up there
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I am not personally, but I am frightened in the sense that there is little time for people to prepare or for people to truly understand what may transpire.
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This x 1,000. We can't get caught up over potential for hurricane force winds. A prolonged duration of gusts even 40-50 mph is going to do a quite a bit of damage. If we get into the 50-60 mph range...it will be on the ugly side. And well...that is becoming increasingly possible.
