weatherwiz

Maybe we pry Eichel next

I wonder if BDL makes a run at 80 tomorrow...this is some serious mixing

Persistence is key

They don't get it anymore either. It's basically Southeast or bust now-a-days

Do it!!! It will be alot of fun

Actually this is exactly what's going to happen. The Bruins are going to be in game 7 of the Stanley Cup finals and we're going to have a severe weather outbreak with a moderate risk

no this is New England specific

There is no good pattern on the horizon for severe weather. This really sucks.

Agreed!! I still think that people are just going to stop wearing them in the coming weeks whether the mandates lift or not...especially at places like bars

CAPE is a measure of instability...clown maps just well...clown

That's awesome! I think tomorrow 12-15 year old vaccinations can start? Really curious to see how numbers drop then. Number of tests being done in CT has dropped substantially and also the # of positive tests. The number presented today was 187/17,891. I would think probably by the end of the month (probably even sooner) that is below 100 and once we get below 100 I think we quickly start nearing 50 and hopefully even less.

1.05% for CT last 24-hours and hospitalizations down to 243!!! Everything re-opens fully a week from today...I give it like first week of June and indoor mask mandate in CT will be bye-bye

As we prepare for severe weather season I've thought of a new fun way to start raising awareness for potential severe weather events...now obviously there is more to severe weather than just CAPE alone but additions will be made moving forward. But...it's always fun looking for high CAPE. Anyways, this will only be looking at 7-days down the road...and ONLY if there is a potential trigger mechanism for convection. For example, let's say it's mid-August and it's 100/73 and despite the poor lapse rates we're still generating 3500 CAPE...but there is no trigger...well this will not be issued. So let's look at an example. Let's pretend we are looking 4 days out and the models are showing extreme CAPE (>4000 J) over New England thanks to an EML over 88/73 air with a cold front approaching. It would look like this: 1. A CAPE map from the models (note: This will be for MLCAPE and not SBCAPE) 2. The bottom left references the CAPE alert scale 3. On the right will indicate the CAPE alert level

CAPE!!!!!!!

The SPC does have thunderstorm probabilities across the Northeast so they at least think the support is there and SPC SREF spitting out enough probs to spark an interest

Only thing we may be lacking is stronger shortwave support. The NAM/GFS have a pretty impressive shortwave actually close off as it's passing south of us and this is also the core of the cold pool with H5 temps approaching -25C!

oh hail the mighty cold pool

Definitely should see some orographic induced showers w/pea-hail this weekend I think.

I have always toyed with the idea of moving West. It was something that has been quite appealing but the more I thought of it I became hesitant. I feel like moving to a completely different area after college, especially by yourself is tough...especially when it comes to trying to meet people and I'm not really the big sociable person that goes up to people and start talking to them. Then there is the family aspect with my mom being older and her health not very great and my aunt who I'm close with isn't in the best of health either. As for work I am super lucky to have found a job which I've grown to like and it's super interesting though quite demanding. I am considering going for my masters though and starting classes next spring...I think an NWS job would be sick...particularly within the SPC which is something I would definitely shoot for but don't you need to know coding/GIS for that? I don't think I could ever learn that stuff. I am pretty excited though at the prospects of hiring spree within the NWS over the next several years so getting a masters now would be pretty essential.

I am quite surprised at the PNA signal. Would have to look through records (which perhaps I'll do after this post) but I would think this would be approaching record territory for May. Usually the PNA signal really starts waning by now. Not a good look for those that like the chase in the mid-west.

When I was at WestConn Westside Campus I think was like up around 700' while the bottom of the hill was maybe a couple hundred...if even that. Anyways it was about a mile from the top of the hill to the bottom (or maybe 3/4 of a mile). I remember a couple times driving and it would be rain at the bottom and as you got higher it would flip and at the top there would be a coating+ of snow. I've done the walk a few times and it's super cool when you get to the transition spot.

The waiting game just sucks. I always figure our best likelihood for a higher-end severe threat is usually from like mid-to-late may through mid-July. After mid-July we usually begin to establish deep SW flow through the column and have to deal with poor lapse rates.

I guess we going to go through May without severe wx...what a joke

Nothing maddens me more than this whole snow record keeping debacle which occurred during the window in the 90's...how completely irresponsible and utterly ridiculous. What tops it all too is...the errors are INCLUDED in calculations for averages...how absurd. I mean fine...a huge mishap occurred with the record but don't incorporate that into averages.

also didn't they use an incorrect 1995-1996 seasonal snowfall total number for BDL?