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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. I just saw that Looks like Louisiana picking up right where they left off in terms of tropical
  2. That is quite telling. I mean just a month ago MI was one of the worst hot spots in the country.
  3. There is backdoor cold front potential next weekend...although not sure it's backdoor by definition but pretty decent signal for a N-S moving cold front late next week
  4. Gotcha. So in this sense this basically is probably determined by BL decoupling which is another challenge in itself. Hell, it only takes a brief period of de-coupling for temps to just drop and then boom...climb right back up when coupling re-occurs.
  5. That's a pretty interesting theory and makes sense when you break it down like that. If we think about the Earth's radiation budget, there is typically a net surplus closer to the equator and a net deficit closer to the Arctic region and in the essence of balance the net surplus equals the net deficit and boom...you have a balanced Earth energy budget...but with the idea of global warming this balance is probably not so balanced anymore. Anyways got a bit off topic but the idea I'm getting at is to what you were saying...theoretically if we're storing more energy during the diurnal cycle, for some sort of balance to be restored, just as much energy needs to be released in the radiative process. What would be a super interesting study is taking a collection of nights where radiative cooling occurs and temperature readings at the lowest surface elevations within that area and then record temperatures at surrounding higher elevations. As we know with radiative cooling, lower elevations tend to be colder than higher elevations (resulting in an inversion). Just from observations, there seem to be times where the temperature gradient between a lower elevation and higher elevation could be pretty steep...you could essentially probably measure the "release" of radiation based off the temperature gradient
  6. I strongly agree with this. I've noticed this to especially true say along the Gulf Coast and Florida...and I'm sure other places. I think I came about this one ear doing the weather challenge. I think it was a Florida location but I was using current dewpoints and forecast dewpoints (along with sky cover and other parameters) to assist with low forecast. Seeing dews were like low 60's I went with a low that was in the lower 60's...well the dew points would drop into like the mid 50's and well the temperature would drop below 60 lol. I wish there was a model product available on the various model sites (maybe there is but I haven't found it) or even a tab on buflit which displayed forecast radiation loss or net radiation. The USL for the weather challenge had this category. I would think this could be extremely useful in many situations. Gotta love the 30-40F diurnal swings
  7. wow! When I left this morning around 6:45 it was quite chilly. I kinda hate this time of year b/c gotta throw the heat on to get the chill out then you forget the heat is on and as you're driving and the sun is ascending you're hit with a wall of heat then need to switch to AC.
  8. wow BDL got to 39. MOS/NBM were mid-40's I guess though a further inspection of the synoptics and even mesoscale should have made it rather clear the lows would undershoot the guidance. High pressure building in, winds becoming pretty light, relatively dry BL. Outside of Monday night though BDL has undershoot guidance lows. Forecasting lows is so challenging...well for me it is. I kinda suck at it. There are several cities (especially like down in TX) where guidance can be horrific with lows. I thought maybe the NBM would be better but I find it to suck just as much in many cases. I do find the NBM though to be pretty damn good with sky cover.
  9. I was looking at NBM and was looking at forecast hour line instead of temperature and my heart almost skipped out b/c I thought it was showing temperatures into the 100's
  10. I don't understanding why places are doing this...like is offering free stuff really going to convince those that are hesitant to get the vaccine? I guess it might work for some people but doing something like this could easily backfire. Convince people with science...not smoothies and artery hardening crap
  11. I'm hoping Mass will go 100% indoor capacity around the time of the conference or Stanley Cup finals.
  12. The whole Yankees situation is interesting. I don't get the point of testing fully vaccinated people or people who had COVID though.
  13. Indoor masking to end for fully vaccinated in CT on May 19!!!
  14. I have a friend who dominates in blackjack. I watched him win $500 in a span of several minutes and he only started with whatever the minimum bet was
  15. I'm dying to go back to the casino but I suck at gambling. I put $40 into a machine, do max bet and lose my money in about 3 seconds
  16. The casino's have some pretty awesome nightclubs
  17. We'll see what Lamont says during his presser. He'll likely go with CDC guidance and kiss indoor masks good-bye
  18. I agree with you on this. This is why I mentioned a few times I think you'll see some businesses do this but the second they see business suffering they'll change their tune really quick
  19. I'm curious to see how this is handled on a business-to-business basis. I wonder if you'll start seeing signs indicating if you enter mask-less you need to provide vaccine proof...especially smaller type businesses like barber shops, maybe gas stations, smaller family owned restaurants. Bars/clubs...big grocery stores probably nothing
  20. There will be some places that do it. I was actually just talking with a co-worker a few minutes ago and she said she was somewhere a few weeks ago and she had to present it. Carrying the card though is stupid...thing is huge. I think you can obtain a copy of it online or just take a picture of it and keep on your phone. I heard from a co-worker too it might be tied into your license...or on your license record. I mean I don't think it's a big deal if you have to show proof at certain places...no different than having to show your license when purchasing alcohol if asked to do so.
  21. fully vaccinated no more outside/inside (with some exceptions)....AUDIOS MASKS!!!!!!!!!!!
  22. There were some Northeast stations that still ended up several degrees above MOS the past few days lol and still got pretty damn close to daily average
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