weatherwiz

that cell blew up in northeast CT

big downpour with a rumble of thunder

35 knots of bulk shear just northeast of RI with 150 J of 3km CAPE and 1,000 J of MLCAPE. Probably a nice little spot to watch for today

Looks like drier air works in aloft too (outside of eastern sections). With dewpoints generally in the mid 60's and poor lapse rates we can only realize so much instability today. Coastal southeast ME through southern NH, and northeast MA will be the prime spot today. Can't rule out stronger cells getting a decent mid-level meso which could perhaps lead to the risk for small hail

Only issue with western areas is shear looks to decrease. Also looks like there could be a decent instability gradient across eastern areas and sometimes those areas can be favorable locations. Looks like the HRRR wants to favor eastern sections with more isolated activity further west.

This looked a bit better Thursday or Friday. We really just can't buy anything. Today seems to favor eastern areas...southern ME, NH, and eastern MA. Looks like that's where the better overlap of CAPE/shear will exist and perhaps some better convergence. So perhaps some damaging wind gusts out that way.

This is a great storm.

It’s coming!!!!! Yes!!!! I’m in a hotel room too...have tripod at window taking time lapse

Please!!!!!!

I’m probably going to be melting real soon but this summer is fooking ridiculous. This is the biggest load of bullshit I’ve ever seen. This isn’t summer...it’s crap. Big fooking deal it got humid out and we’ve had some 90’s. It was freaking cold through much of June. Even the west had snow in June. Monday doesn’t look good anymore. Screw these freaking models...all over the place. Don’t even run them past 2-3 days anymore...they’re crap. I wonder if perhaps less flights are really impacting data availability? Ehhh who cares...doesn’t change the fact that this summer sucks. If we don’t get anything good this week you can bet a melt is in store.

This lack of convection is actually starting to piss me off. These 3km CAPE values should be sufficient to at least make for a few interesting cells. Am noting though the wind field isn't rather expansive...greatest helicity values actually confined to a relatively small area and displaced from the CAPE. Figures...POS SNE junk BS

I was doing pretty well with Python last summer...then the fall came and I got super swamped. I forget what I was using...was either Jupyter or Conda. But I was having fun with all the mapping packages/data packages. mpl_toolkits, cartopy (this was BRUTAL to get to work...absolutely BRUTAL...took me weeks and dozens and dozens of hours), matplotlib, numpy, etc. I really need to get back into it...only issue is time to devote. Like I need to devote at least several hours a day to it so I can not only understand it but grasp it. Do you know of any oneline python courses that are strictly designed for meteorology? I would certainly pay for those.

Driving from Branford to Newtown after. Hopefully I encounter a vortex and it sucks me up and drops me right in Newtown

Thanks! I gotta get back into learning python...that would be sick to do. Would it be possible to extract daily observations by station and date into an Excel file?

Should see a Slight risk with the day 2...but at the rate they've been coming out with the outlooks it probably won't be released until after tomorrow. I could see a small area of enhanced too...mainly for wind damage. I want to flatten forests tomorrow.

Gusts starting to pick up in Branford.

Pretty chilly breeze. Glad I bought a jacket with me today. Might have to put it back on

yeah it's pretty bright here in Branford. 84 really...wow.

cool...Anchorage had a t'storm yesterday. I can't even get one

That dry slot wrapping around the backside seems to really be enhancing convection off the NJ coast

RAP on mesoanalysis yielding 50-75 J of 3km CAPE early afternoon...50 might be a bit low to produce anything but we get towards 75 and higher and that may be enough to make for some interesting cells.

Long Island into the southern 4 counties of CT...though I would think Litchfield and Hartford should be included too.

I'm thinking we see an MCD...Tornado Watch Possible to be issued within the next 90-minutes.

low topped for sure...hell there may not even be much lightning. It won't take much sun poking through to vastly build 3km CAPE...even if OVC is thin enough...strong sun angle is plenty to boost things.