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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    was just about to post that
  2. weatherwiz
    In reality. I hate the "if this were winter" or "if this were a winter storm" comparisons anyways.
  3. weatherwiz
    yeah pretty gusty here in Branford...was not expecting this now either.
  4. weatherwiz
    yes actually.
  5. weatherwiz
    agreed on all accounts.
  6. weatherwiz
    If it was winter this would be tracking up the Hudson
  7. weatherwiz
    hmmm http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs/fcst/archive/21102606/36.phase1.zoom.png
  8. weatherwiz
    Beautiful...wish this could stick around another few months
  9. weatherwiz
    Warm here in Branford and even a bit on the sticky side.
  10. weatherwiz
    there is going to be a narrow axis (like a deform band) that sets up somewhere...probably from Cape Cod through RI into E CT. That llv is going to throw back some ample moisture into this system. Wouldn't be surprised to see an axis of like 5-7''.
  11. weatherwiz
    Gotcha. lots to iron out though in the next 24-hours with some of the details. Certainly going to be strong winds...just a question of how much of the region gets into them.
  12. weatherwiz
    Maybe some waterspouts off Cape Cod?
  13. weatherwiz
    with the euro wind fix or the wind threat in general? Uncertain about the state as a whole but coast/eastern sections looks a bit more concerning.
  14. weatherwiz
    Agreed...shoreline has the greatest likelihood for widespread power outages. Inland...a bit of a tougher call. 40-50 mph wind gusts are certainly on the common side around here in the fall/winter...but given the state of the trees plus all the rain coming it makes for a bit more in the way of uneasiness.
  15. weatherwiz
    We'll most certainly have a stout inversion in place which will help limit winds but we should also see some CAA moving through the evening which should erode the inversion a bit but given how we're looking at mostly synoptically driven winds this may not matter much (outside of mixing down stronger winds)...but winds off the deck are pretty wild. I would think 40-50 mph gusts inland are a good be with gusts 55-70 along the coast.
  16. weatherwiz
    they did? About time. There are still some uncertainties with several pieces, however, even with the uncertainties the confidence I think for a pretty impressive wind event and power outages may be on the high side...I guess just a matter of how much of the region but that's tied into the uncertainties with track/placement
  17. weatherwiz
    Holy crap...HRRR gone wild for sure. Does have some support from the 3km NAM too. That's a pretty extensive area of synoptic wind. Certainly can't be discounted when you consider the potential for a sub 990 low with a ~1028 HP to the north
  18. weatherwiz
    puking?
  19. weatherwiz
    YES!!!!
  20. weatherwiz
    Thanks!!!
  21. weatherwiz
    some options to close tabs to the right, close other tabs, close current tab, and adding tabs. There is an option to mute. I looked for extension options in settings but I don't see extension options. It's so frustrating and annoying. Whoever thought that would be a good idea should be fired
  22. weatherwiz
    Does anyone know how to stop google chrome tabs from automatically refreshing...stupidest thing ever
  23. weatherwiz
    Steep mlvl lapse rates FTW! Decent amount of SBCAPE too out in eastern sections.
  24. weatherwiz
    There is certainly enough directional shear going on to support supercell potential...in fact, perhaps even some right moving supercells. If there are indeed supercells and they become mature enough there probably is golf ball hail potential
  25. weatherwiz
    I would focus more on MLCAPE over SBCAPE, however, given the presence of mlvl lapse rates approaching 7-7.5 C/KM atop of Td's in the mid-to-upper 60's and sfc temps ranging between upper 70's and lower 80's MLCAPE values 1500-2000 J/KG is not unreasonable. In fact, if mlvl lapse rates are more 7.5-8 C/KM those values would be quite likely.
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