weatherwiz

The signal for late August into September has been pretty strong. Looks like another go around of over-the-top warmth too. Some of the anomalies well into Canada are quite impressive. Prior to this though there does seem to be a window of potential for some increased precipitation chances here (and for the drought crowd that doesn't mean everyone is seeing rain), but once we get back into the hotter/more humid pattern, looks like we'll re-establish a westerly-to-northwesterly flow aloft which is not very good for widespread rain chances here. What we really need is a deep SW flot through the column.

Been in Springfield...closer to Wilbraham the past several months. It stopped now but it was consistent from when I woke up (a bit after 7 until about 20-30 min ago).

There's been this consistent low rumble going on since I woke up. Sounds like planes or maybe we're about to be invaded by UFO's and aliens.

I wonder if BDL can pull off a sneaky 3-day heat wave...Sunday could get close to 90. Looks like another round of ~90 possible late next week.

It does look like there should be at least increasing potential for precipitation up this way moving into the upcoming few weeks. Looks like lots going on down in the deep south and Gulf of Mexico (not necessarily tropical but developing lows along stalled or slowly propagating fronts). Hopefully we can establish a more SW flow in the mid-upper levels.

drought lol

They can steal our rain but they can't steal our snow.

Could be looking at some big heat to kick off September. Naked Labor Day Parties?

Based on what’s being projected with the potential it seems like it could be visible even south of CT.

I am really hoping we can get a good show tomorrow night. Sounds like the potential is there. I saw the northern lights once and it was stunning.

will dead trees be easier to take down if we get a fall derecho?

when I first started reading this I thought you were going to say it was moved indoors to the ripe smell of pot

You would think so but it really isn't. Although I think it tends to do better when there is a well-defined lifting mechanism (like a cold front or pre-frontal trough) and larger-scale lift. But days in which convection is of the pop-up variety it's not very good. But given how small of a scale we're dealing with regarding the pop-up stuff, even the HRRR I don't think is high enough resolution to sniff out those processes.

I wonder if we see a Colin 2.0 off the Carolina coast at the end of the week

Sometimes I wonder if there are too many forecast products available on the models. If it wasn't for QPF charts or snowfall maps how many storms would get "hyped" up?

Kinda hoping for some severe threats next week Being tickled by some stronger bulk shear but we'll need more than a tickle

Not sold on any long duration event with this given how quickly occlusion is likely to happen.

Ryan even said on Friday there was synoptic support

Is that Kevin tapping out?

There's some synoptic support

The HRRR has been pretty steadfast. That's gotta at least count for something

Especially if GFS is correct. Not very often you see NAM MOS > GFS MOS with temps. While I'm a big fan of NBM for temps I think tomorrow is a prime example of when it should be tossed.

Does BOS even crack 70 tomorrow?

I'm just going to blindfold myself tomorrow, walk outside, and stick my tongue out. If I feel drops it's raining, if not, it's not.

12z GFS bufkit for CHH