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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. true but with clouds and trees those areas get darker a bit more quickly. I chased up that way a few times and one time was near dark and we encountered a road that was littered with debris and live wires
  2. Would never chase up that way lol. Way too many trees around and with it getting towards sunset that is a recipe for disaster
  3. The really only thing to watch is probably that batch of storms entering NW NJ. Outside of that I don't think we really see anything develop. Storms have certainly tried to develop but without a trigger or larger-scale forcing it's just not happening. But we'll starting losing ingredients in the next 2-3 hours.
  4. SUPERCELL COMPOSITE OF 16 AND SIG TOR OF 3....DAMNNNNN. Fook you lack of trigger
  5. the problem is, despite the sun ripping out, is there just isn’t much in the way of forcing or large-scale lift. We have all the ingredients needed for severe wx and for the possibility of a tornado...except lift and we’ll that is kinda important. Maybe differential heating or if the warm front can hang around a bit...that could be a focal point?
  6. Oh damn lol. This is where I am right now but about to head back home.
  7. Supercell composite of 12 and Sig TOr of 2 SE NY into SW CT. Don’t see those values often here
  8. Attempted to chase that stuff in NE CT. At Crystal Lake but headed back to Windsor Locks and will wait on stuff from ENY
  9. Anyone with access to RPM know what it shows for today?
  10. That ongoing cell in NJ could be the one to watch.
  11. All the ingredients are certainly there. Almost kinda a good thing there isn’t a huge amount of lift...want to keep storms discrete. HRRR is wild but I think it’s warm front happy overdone
  12. Was too early I’m unsure if what I want to do really. Not sure how much we see develop.
  13. Looking decent across PA/NY but the question is initiation. I am leaning towards going to NE PA tomorrow
  14. oof you're not kidding. Not a good thing to see...especially for so early in the morning when you would expect overnight convection to really aid in things.
  15. I'm thinking perhaps NE PA? I've done that before...shit area but fook it.
  16. It's done a relatively good job fighting the shear. I think it looks much better than it did this morning. We'll see how much these flare ups of convection help too...especially moving into the overnight when convection typically seems to really increase. Looks like even some cloud tops now colder than -90C...impressive
  17. Trying to look super close at the computer (so close I hit my nose on the screen) but satellite presentation really seems to be improving with an increase in convection. I like to call hot towers popcorn towers v/c they pop like popcorn
  18. I wonder if there is an interaction at play with the s/w over the Great Lakes area...storm really seems to strengthen up around NJ...also looks like it may even keep the center perhaps a bit offshore...though that could be resolution driven?
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