weatherwiz

ughhh quite a bit of precipitation explosion occurring. This may be focused along with secondary surge of higher theta-e air. Hopefully this crap and blow through and then we can start thinning the clouds out.

yeah have to see how far north that area of clearing can get. Hopefully we don't see a situation where the weak capping allows crap to keep developing. Encouraging to see the HRRR with successive runs at some potent storms moving through Connecticut. Monday's I do trivia in New Britain so maybe I can get some good action going into CT later

HRRR again becoming quite ominous later. Already seeing some pretty impressive 3km CAPE (given the shear). HRRR also showing MLCAPE potentially 1500-2000 later on. May have to see some adjustments with the 5% TOR in the next update

some encouraging satellite trends. We obviously aren't going to see widespread full out heating but there's going to be at least pockets of stronger heating. Really won't need much to make [low-level] CAPE skyrocket given dews.

western CT and western MA may be prime areas of focus.

I put the hammock out in the yard yesterday. I want to tie myself to it and see how many times I can spin around when damaging winds blow through

Monday, July 18, 2022: Strong shear overspreading the region characterized by bulk shear values exceeding 30 knots and effective helicity values approaching 150-200 m2s2 along the warm front. A very moist low-level airmass characterized by dewpoints into the upper 60's is helping to yield modest CAPE values. With strong shear expected across the region through the day we'll see multiple opportunities for thunderstorms through the day. One this morning with the warm front and additional development over the course of the day. Given modest CAPE and strong shear (including directional shear) a few weak tornadoes and some localized damaging wind gusts are possible!!! Thursday, July 21, 2022: Potential for moderate instability and strong wind shear = wind damage threat!!! (More on this later)

Been doing house repairs all weekend and was working from about 7 AM well into the evening. Going to fire a thread for this week!!

Sometimes the best tickle is one you stretch for

On the look we probably just miss out of the biggest heat. Mid-to-upper 90's into PA/NJ/NYC while hottest temperatures here are more lower 90's.

I don't know how to do the GIFs so it would be better looped but the GFS tickles our fannies with EML plumes.

Sweet...hoping we'll see some purple and blue shadings pop up over the upcoming weeks here.

I've seen this floated around on twitter. What link is this from?

I want every single tree, forest, plant, fence, shurb leveled...leveled and 100% demolished to the point they can't be recovered.

Hoping for a few severe chances this week. Monday/Thursday could offer some. Don't think as fun as Wednesday though unless bulk shear trends stronger.

I like big CAPE far out

Wow who knew pollen could be so dangerous

Where is all this rain tomorrow talk coming from? I think people are so rain deprived they hallucinating rain

Indeed but it's funny to see it go off the scale.

+45C to +46C temps

Were you in it? Drunk?

Kinda hoping that stuff to the West strengthens but I can’t get greasy

Severe!!!!!

OH MY FOOKING GOD OHHHH MY GOD