weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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GFS prime for EML advection this upcoming weekend and early next week. Unfortunately nothing to really utilize it. Though I wonder if Monday night would have some MCS potential diving southeast out of Canada. Obviously a week out so unlikely to keep this look, but that would be an intriguing look for overnight MCS
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Hopefully Stanton isn't hitting for us come winter
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GFS is 74 at BDL tomorrow NAM has 82...one of the rare times the NAM exceeds the GFS But think it's going to be tough for BDL to get much above the lower 70's. I'm wondering though where MAV/MET derive their numbers sometime. MET has the 82 for BDL (highest 3-hr temp though is 79) but NAM bufkit comes nowhere close to hinting at those numbers.
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The front may even barely get onto the south coast
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Summer's back didn't break. All we did was transition from an anomalous stretch of high dewpoints to a more typical summer stretch...meaning we get a mixture of days with lower dews and then days with higher dews ahead of any approaching frontal systems. That's not summer's back breaking, that's pretty typical summer weather.
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The best Canes will be in Carolina beginning in October
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Only in fantasies
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I am seeing weak rotation looking towards ludlow.
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That's exactly what happened to me in West Hartford last month. Winds were west and then all of a sudden shifted east as the storm was passing just to my East. Storms exploded and became SVR warned and I think there was wind damage just east.
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Wow! Notice too how the easterlies happened right when that (I don't want to call it a lowering b/c it was tough to tell) feature moved overhead.
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Yeah that’s an uneasy feeling and it’s pretty eerie one too.
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Looked like it had some decent rotation for a few scans there
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Damn it I was going to do some painting but some showers popped to the west.
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Sun got blocked by clouds now :/
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Scraping paint from some steps in preparation to paint (not today) but this is the stuff…covered in sweat from the hot sun beating directly on me with the humidity in the air.
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I think it depends on whether the updrafts are interfering with each other. I would think the inflow is favoring updrafts not being perturbed so that's why you have multiple cells within this cluster really going to town. However, at some point if outflow becomes dominant it will choke off inflow into the entire thing and it will weaken. This is what perhaps the HRRR is getting at
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If those winds are reaching the sfc Plattekill is getting crushed
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Might be close to a TOR near POU
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yeah models aren't too enthused at all which is certainly a flag, but the HRRR has been a bit inconsistent with this stuff today so just have to see how it unfolds.
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Only good part about night storms is just the vivid flashes but you can't see structures
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Some impressive mesos within those storms.
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I'd make a move towards BDL but I think that is going to end up south of there and its getting dark anyways...boooooooo
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Winter wouldn't be bad if it didn't get dark out at like 4:00. The only time it's awesome is when it's snowing. Having it 5:00 PM and dark with heavy snow falling....hopefully can experience that this winter.
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Stuff is going to ride along the warm front/instability gradient
