weatherwiz

gotta love the differences between the 6z/12z 3km NAM I actually can't stand the 3km NAM...I think it's a POS model. You would think the increased resolution would make it pretty solid but I think it's trash. IDK...maybe some scores out there will prove me wrong but it's trash.

And my reference about leaving should a category 2/3 hit the state has to do with the aftermath. Power outages probably on the magnitude of months in many places, extend of the damage would be near catastrophic...I doubt there are many structures here that could withstand those winds...maybe the newest of buildings, you can bet there would be significant food shortage, gas shortage.

It probably would b/c I'd likely get taxed on my way out

CT is literally nothing but an unorganized mess. Honestly, probably the only thing CT has seem to have done right is the response to COVID...though obviously there are some questionable aspects but given where we sit...can't complain. This state just flat out sucks though...there's a reason why people are fleeing the state in alarming numbers. It's almost impossible to drive down a street and not find at least several houses for sale. It kinda sucks too b/c there are some excellent communities in this state to raise a family. The cost of living makes it nearly impossible. Sometimes I really wonder if school and the debt was worth it. Between school loans, car payment, and car insurance that right there is more than enough to get a solid place with someone. CT just can't seem to do anything right...our emergency/disaster response is an absolute joke. just makes the thought even scarier for when we do get hit by a category 2 or 3. I see something like that coming...bye-bye, I'm out.

Sounds like the blame game. "It's not my responsibility, it's yours". Freaking clowns.

Hamden is like a hot spot for damage in CT. Whether it's tornadoes, floods, mictobursts, 40'' of snow...Hamden is the spot.

I remember once having some weird issue if you flipped the phone to the left but the good news is you can easily edit and flip to the proper position. I do have a camcorder...not great but it's something. The plus about using your phone is you can instantly upload to YouTube and Social Media...the downside though is if that's your only source for tracking radar or communicating with others you're hit. I would love to get a high quality camera someday...I've always had a huge interest in photography.

I get so pissed at myself though when I've realized I forgot to flip the phone sideways too. Speaking of that though...don't you need to flip the phone in the correct direction? Like if you have your phone out in front of you so the screen is facing you, it needs to be flipped to the right, correct?

1) That is annoying but that is something I do myself. I think part of the reason is you're getting caught up in the moment and the last thing you're thinking about is the proper position of the phone. Plus...the position of holding the phone vertical is natural to most people. When you're taking video of something that pumps adrenaline the last thing you're thinking is "oh crap I need to put my phone sideways" 2) I've caught myself in this position before. This is why when I go chasing around here I always position in an open parking lot where there are no trees or power lines around. I really try to get well ahead of the storm and pick a spot. I prefer not to drive in it b/c the rain is too intense...you never know when you'll encounter ponding or if you can even see a car in front of you or if someone will hit you from behind. During the 5/15/18 outbreak I was taking video outside at this restaurant and I look up and right above me was power lines...I quickly ran inside. Hell, the other day I was outside one of the doors at work and there were power lines above me so I quickly ran inside.

I'm curious to know whether there is communication between utility companies and, towns/state, and places like Frontier who own utility poles. It sounds like there is minimal communication judging by response efforts...and if there is communication its probably not very productive.

I heard from a co-worker they have utility trucks out in Old Saybrook!!! (At least we know there are some out there). Still 5 towns with 100% of customers out

I think you are right though...most of it is south. But I suppose though it all depends on where the boundary sets up. Right now there really isn't much support for it to be north enough. Although sometimes you can get elevated convection on the north side of them.

yeah it does look to stay mostly to the south. The 3km NAM also seemed to be a bit more beefy than NAM/GFS in terms of elevated CAPE. The 3km NAM actually looked like there was a small window for severe across LI and potentially the Cape later Saturday AM. Not sure I totally buy into it, but these setups have been known to surprise some in the past...especially in August.

Could be some loud booms along the coast overnight tomorrow/early Saturday morning

But how do surrounding states...including states like MA seem to restore power so much more quickly. Ryan posted a tweet yesterday...I forget which storm it was...maybe the Oct snowstorm but looking at towns along the MA/CT border...towns on the CT side were dealing with significant outages days and days after the storm...meanwhile just over the border many towns had significant progress. I'm not downplaying the fact that we are susceptible to wind events and the fact we have tons of trees near power lines...but they should know this, understand this, and that should be all the more reason to be better prepared. They have never, ever been over-prepared for an event...it's always under-prepared and significantly. They just can't keeping putting blame on weather forecasts for their inability to do their jobs.

oh I know they failed. I just thought Scott's point was valid that the entire (well like 95%) of the state was impacted and when that happens it makes efforts much more difficult...BUT they should have been prepared for this and planned. They failed

That is an extremely fair and valid point. I have to be inclined to think that they were just not prepared. Whether that was from just lack of proper guidance, disregarding forecasts, maybe they just aren't equip to handle such a situation...who knows. Also...don't completely quote me on this but I don't believe they actually have their own in-house meteorologist (though that may be UI). But I do know that many utility companies actually employ their own meteorologists.

I love Miller Lite. Although I can't remember the last time I had one. I hardly ever drink anymore and when I do I can barely even finish a drink. But too me, it has the most flavor out of Bud Lite and Coors Lite. I first started drinking when I was 19/20 and I hated the taste of alcohol...couldn't stand it but I tried Miller Lite and I seemed to not hate it so I fell in love with it. That and 40's of Steel Reserve were my drinks of choice watching hockey games. But I retired from 40's of Steel Reserve December 13, 2018. ughhh 40's of Steel Reserve were the best thing ever

Just goes to show how much can get done with the right preparations and a little organization. I mean the day after the storm...ES really didn't have much to say. Instead of providing a plan it was "blame the weather forecasts" exactly like 2011. The message was "we need to assess". That is totally fine...obviously you need to assess a situation after it occurs, but you should already have plans and strategies in place..that's what emergency management is for.

I believe so. Each town's DPW I think is responsible. I saw alot of that going on in Branford...especially last night when heading home. Even saw some along highway today

Interesting b/c when I was listening to the radio earlier...I could be wrong here but I thought there was somebody on talking about the damage photos and from what it looked like there were not a ton of pics showing trees mangled in wires.

Let's also remember...even after the Oct 2011 snowstorm it was days before they finally asked for out-of-state help. I believe ES stated today they wouldn't be seeking out-of-state help. I just have a hard time buying they did not receive any information indicating this potential. T

I actually came across this website today poweroutage.us Gives a national overview of power outages and if you click on each state you can also get a break down of the percent of customers within each county out. For example, this is what it is currently showing for NJ

I think that's B.S. CL&P tried to do the same thing after the October 2011 snowstorm...saying they were given incorrect forecast...they were heavily exposed. They were given warning about what was to happen and were told to start bringing in crews from out of state days before...they elected not to. I don't buy for a second they were given the wrong forecast. I mean the freaking cone of uncertainty changed very little from several days out. There was a freaking TS forecast to come up the coast...WTF did people think were going to happen? I would bet anything they were given forecasts indicating how bad winds would be and also given recommendations of what to do. If there is someone or people who can't comprehend what a few hour period of 50-60 mph wind gusts with sustained probably 20-30 would do...then they should not be in the position of making decisions. All you have to do is look at what seconds of 50-60 mph winds do during thunderstorms...if it doesn't click what hours of that would do then those individuals need to be doing something else.

I might not have refreshed the page but from what I'm now seeing there are 679,407 without power. When I had made the post it was just under 700K...but I might not have refreshed. Anyways...I don't know the exact number at peak but thought it was around 730K? Anyways when you look at what NY and NJ have been able to do that's pathetic...and this isn't the first time something like this happened either. I forget which one of Oct Snow/Sandy/Irene but the difference between power restoration along the CT/MA border was laughable. But anyways...NJ was hit way harder than CT...they had 1.3 or 1.4 million without power I think...outages are down to 688K