weatherwiz

This better fill in and intensify

In Hartford at Dunkin Donuts park for Yard Goats….thunderstorms looking good!!!!!!!

Saw so much lightning last night even the Avalanche would have been fazed. Hoping for the same later

Seems like we’ll get some decent storms later although uncertainties with how widespread. Hoping to get smacked at the Yard Goats game tonight

Nice gusts!!!!

Woooooooohoooooo

Maybe I'll take the drive there after. If my pants are stuck to my thighs upon getting out of the car we'll know the answer.

oh yeah Quebec gets nailed. They are really in a prime spot for severe.

HRRR becoming a bit more aggressive with some strong convection tonight

Yeah pretty much. Plus I'm sure they do very well with lapse rates and given how they do get quite warm they probably do well in the instability department.

I'm sick and tired of opening up Radarscope and seeing these massive severe thunderstorm watch boxes in Canada. Not fair. I mean it seems like some of these areas have been under a watch for like 3 weeks straight...wtf.

what chartnumber was that? EDIT: I see 159

Trying to find the correct plot on ISU but so many to look through

I have a friend going too. Asked me the same question. It's a really tough call. The timing of thunderstorms should be mid-to-late afternoon which obviously isn't good given the 4:00 game. I was initially thinking yesterday the start of the game could be delayed but that they should be able to play. But CAMS today aren't very helpful. Would appear the game could get started on time then delayed at some point.

Looks like some stupid subtle warm layers to contend with. Probably be a situation where E MA and RI is best.

meh nothing is interesting...it's all just a big pile of teasing crap. That's what we do best here...crap. Can't get any good instability in here or good lapse rates. It's like mother nature sprayed New England with an instability/lapse rate repellant...well fook you mother nature. I hope someone sprays you with a pesticide and your powers dwindle. Like summer is almost over really. Maybe we can get some type of sick August threat like we did in 2020 but other than that it all just sucks.

Wow!

Should have done that with November 13

CAMS struggling to develop much in the way of convection tomorrow. Looks like there could be a little bit of shortwave subsidence behind early morning activity. Also wonder if there could be some minor capping issues too. The mid-level lapse rates are certainly garbage but mid-level shear is looking healthier. Not sure how widespread convection will fire

We can still get big heat with a mid-level trough signal or a NW flow in the mid-levels. I think the issue is more ultimately the lower heights and trough signal in the lower-levels of the atmosphere. That's what is preventing these pushes of bigger heat/humidity from getting in and becoming consistent. It actually sucks b/c the 500mb pattern is one that could favor lots of convective/severe chances here but the lower-levels are crap.

Wow is the South going to bake again next week. Heat index values going to be up there too.

While it really hasn't happened so far, it really won't take much to get some longer duration heat/humidity to build in. As long as we're continuing to see fluxes of heat/humidity get into the Ohio Valley and mid-Atlantic that opportunity will be there. Won't take much of a change to the overall pattern to get that in here. Same thing with winter...as long as you're building cold into Southeast Canada it doesn't take much to get that in here. The past decade I think has really re-shaped expectations when it comes to big heat here. For the most part, the majority of our 90F+ days comes in July through first half of August. One thing I'd be curious to know is see how the past 10-15 years compare with 90+ days at the major climo sites against the long-term average. BDL I think typically averages somewhere around 18-19 90F days per year? I would bet if you looked at the last 10-15 years the average has to be somewhere into the 20's. I mean a few years back they got to 41 or 42.

Does that mean a summer 98 repeat too?

I am haha