weatherwiz

It’s so cold out ughhhh

I think there is an updraft going up right on top of me!!!

Yeah looking decent...good lightning and decent gusts

I can see updrafts of rising air feeding into it!!!!

Looks like the core of strongest stuff will go to the north ughhh

Hope for golf ball hail and then you'll have plenty of back up if you lose balls

Would be nice to see some lightning within this line soon

Getting a line to form but still quite a bit of MLCIN to erode before these can probably intensify much

sun coming out strong in Springfield. But may be just a bit too far north and west here.

In reality this summer sucks...it really sucks. And I don't care that it's not "officially" summer because of some stupid position of the Earth relative to the Sun because the highest Sun angle hasn't hit the Tropic of Cancer or whatever. We get very limited time with true good summer weather...heat, humidity, thunderstorms and each ticking day with all this COC crap means less and less of true summer. It's almost freaking July...then as we move through July August creeps up and then some cool (at night) shots come then all of a sudden September is closing in and we get some strong front and BOOM...heat gone, humidity gone....it's all gone. And 63/63 sucks...that's fake humid. It's a pathetic cycle of crap.

We could see a similar situation next week where the warm front struggles to lift through the region.

Looks like we'll see at least a broken line develop by early afternoon with eastern sections favored. May see some damaging wind gusts or hail with strongest stuff

I wish Utica was like an hour closer...I would go.

WHY COULDN'T THIS BE TWO WEEKS AGO or WHY NOT FARTHER EAST

I'm 80% happy for a chance at the 20%

Probably not. Would like to see greater elevated instability for these to sustain. South and east though may have a decent chance for storms tomorrow. The drier air pushing in aloft is the big wild card but if storms can pop they will certainly have a wind damage threat.

Latest HRRR has a nice thunderstorm coming through Springfield later this evening!!!!!!!!

Torches have to start somewhere

Looks like a tornado watch may be coming off to our West!!!! why couldn't this setup happen two weeks ago. ughhhhh why does everything have to suck

hmm latest HRRR has some thunderstorms moving across CT late evening

The past several years have featured some anomalously early season riding and subsequently anomalously strong upper troughs within the CONUS and certainly with that you would expect a stronger jet stream. The prospects of CC would certainly be a player in this. Once we're able to break that pesky vortex the flood gates should open to get higher heat/humidity in here. This doesn't mean it will be prolonged, especially if the jet stream continues to be loaded with perturbations, but we'll get these bursts of heat/humidity in here. Once these heat ridges become established across the southern states they are very hard to break down. This circles back to the CC idea, but it seems the past several years these big heat ridges have become established earlier than usual across the southern states (whether this be the West, Southwest, or southern Plains) and with that we've seen much earlier periods of higher heat/humidity too. Even if we don't get the full flexing of the ridging here...that doesn't mean we won't see big heat/humidity. If anything, hopefully being on the crest of any ridging would yield some convectively active periods.

It would be nice to get a similar pattern, but everything just shunted east a bit. Would be nice to get some MCS activity to roll through and 90's style squall lines.