calculus1

Here's the probability of precipitation type for the 09Z SREF plumes at KHKY. Snow to sleet to freezing rain. All frozen, though.

Latest NAM has 0.6 QPF for Hickory. It also retains the significant warm nose that first showed up on the 00Z version last night. We could have 1-2 inches of sleet on the ground if the NAM is correct. That’s some concrete. Wow!

Vintage snow! I like that.

I feel like NWS GSP copied my initial forecast from yesterday: That sounds like 0-12 inches to me.

Point taken. My idea was that snow storms often bring a little bit of magic and wonder to people and are rarely destructive in our area. I figured the kids, at least, would enjoy seeing snow on the ground. But, that won’t be true for everyone, and it could be difficult for many still recovering and trying to rebuild. I was not trying to be flippant. .

Oh, I am well aware of that horrible screw zone, but I think this is more likely to just be a smaller event overall rather than a big event elsewhere while the foothills get nothing. Of course, I’m not a pro met…

Brad Panovich gives you a leeside maximum in his call map. You’re looking good in Old Fort, I believe. Your town needs a good weather event after all the recent catastrophe. I hope this is a good one for you.

Unless you don’t like the family members too much, i would go for it. The chance for glory is worth the risk you might not have TV for a bit, in my humble opinion.

I think Brad’s first call map seems pretty spot on with where we stand. My early call to colleagues at work today here in Hickory was 2-4 inches. Of course, I gave the usual caveats that it could be more and it could be less: Snow in the SE is never an easy forecast. So, put that all together, and I went out on a limb with a forecast of 0-12 inches for Hickory. Bank on it!

Absolutely! We have quite a few classics around here. Maybe the old Yesterday’s on NC 127 that’s now a plasma donation center will have a special sparkle with a couple inches of snow on the roof. We do get great views of Grandfather Mountain from US 321-N approaching the Catawba River on clear days. We just imagine what it must be like to have snow on the ground around us rather than a few short miles to our west and a half-plus mile up.

That’s awesome, guys! Glad you could get together and do that. The pictures were amazing!

I always feel this way now. We have been burned for far too long. 100% agree. On a positive note, it appears we will have no issue with the cold, no matter which model we are viewing. The QPF is the issue here. We need the storm to wind up and move up the coast for us to get those bigger totals. Of course, that brings in more mixing for those to our south and east. If it just slides along underneath us and out to sea, we are looking at much lighter totals than we could have in the first scenario.

You do not exhibit an attitude in your online persona that appears to want to learn. You have made strong statements against what many others are posting. You are defiant when called out about it. You called out one of the most respected mets in the SE subforum, @msuwx. This is why many are upset at you in the main forum. Exhibit a bit more humility, and I imagine the response would be different. Also, I see no evidence that this site is dying, and I continue to enjoy posting and learning here. I am grateful for this online weather community, as many others are too.

Now that's a traditional foothills special from days of growing up in the 1980s and 1990s. Bring it on! Amazing sledding conditions.

Had a nice glaze over everything this morning. I was surprised.

31.7/29 as I head to bed. No precipitation at the moment. .

32.0/28 with drizzle. That precipitation has dragged the temperature down quickly, but we'll see how long it lasts at freezing or lower. I don't notice any glaze, as of yet, even on the elevated surfaces.

WWAs just got extended to Catawba, Iredell, and Rowan counties until 7 AM... ...for a light glaze.

That is crazy! 6+ inches of surprise snowfall in Galax and surrounding areas?!?!

33.2/26 with drizzle

33.7/26 now

34.3/25 here. Think I am a bit too east for any ZR tonight, but I could be wrong. .

Moderate sleetfest outside. 35.2/19 here. .

…featuring the good ol’ leeside minimum FTW! Edit: I know, I know. Way too early to sweat such details. But, we’ve been burned by the Apps so many times, too.

Mountain cams are pretty impressive right now on Resort Cams. Black Mountain actually has quite the snow showers right now. More than Boone, Blowing Rock, or Beech Mt, in terms of rate of snowfall. (Those other places have more on the ground, though.)