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calculus1

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Everything posted by calculus1

  1. calculus1
    Just went out for a walk with the family. We have about an inch as well. All snow still. Hoping that sleet stays south of us.
  2. calculus1
    Still all snow. Approaching a full inch of snow after almost six hours of precipitation. It's been fun to walk in and watch fall, though. I've missed this.
  3. calculus1
    Just can't seem to get the bigger flakes to stick around for very long. It's been snowing for about 3 hours now, the temperature has been sub-32 the entire time, the ground and road surfaces have been cold for days, and... I have somewhere between 1/4 and 1/2 of an inch of snow.
  4. calculus1
    Much bigger flakes here now.
  5. calculus1
    29.5/25 and 82% humidity. The temp had risen to 34 briefly, but quickly dove back under freezing. This is amazing, as we don’t normally get snow to fall during an entire below-freezing event.
  6. calculus1
    Just got back from a 20-minute walk. Instantly sticking on impact. I love that we aren’t losing any moisture to reduce the air temperature. Steady light-to-moderate snow and nothing showing up on radar overhead. Can’t wait until we get to the stuff that actually does show up on radar. Deck’s already covered, as are all the grassy and leafy areas. The roads have yet to give way, yet.
  7. calculus1
    First flakes! Just saw them!
  8. calculus1
    Sorry about that, man. That really sucks after a 3-year drought of snow.
  9. calculus1
    No flakes yet here in NE Hickory, but no sun either. 34.1/18
  10. calculus1
    Lots of snow falling in Boone, Banner Elk, Beech Mountain, Blowing Rock per Resort Cams.
  11. calculus1
    What does NWS GSP know that they're not telling me? My point-and-click forecast just changed to this:
  12. calculus1
    30.7/18 for 59% humidity here IMBY in Hickory. Hard to see radar returns overhead with nothing hitting the ground, but I know this is part of the process. Atmosphere has to saturate.
  13. calculus1
    Feeling pretty optimistic of a good 2-4 inches of mostly snow.
  14. calculus1
    Here's the probability of precipitation type for the 09Z SREF plumes at KHKY. Snow to sleet to freezing rain. All frozen, though.
  15. calculus1
    Latest NAM has 0.6 QPF for Hickory. It also retains the significant warm nose that first showed up on the 00Z version last night. We could have 1-2 inches of sleet on the ground if the NAM is correct. That’s some concrete. Wow!
  16. calculus1
    Vintage snow! I like that.
  17. calculus1
    I feel like NWS GSP copied my initial forecast from yesterday: That sounds like 0-12 inches to me.
  18. calculus1
    Point taken. My idea was that snow storms often bring a little bit of magic and wonder to people and are rarely destructive in our area. I figured the kids, at least, would enjoy seeing snow on the ground. But, that won’t be true for everyone, and it could be difficult for many still recovering and trying to rebuild. I was not trying to be flippant. .
  19. calculus1
    Oh, I am well aware of that horrible screw zone, but I think this is more likely to just be a smaller event overall rather than a big event elsewhere while the foothills get nothing. Of course, I’m not a pro met…
  20. calculus1
    Brad Panovich gives you a leeside maximum in his call map. You’re looking good in Old Fort, I believe. Your town needs a good weather event after all the recent catastrophe. I hope this is a good one for you.
  21. calculus1
    Unless you don’t like the family members too much, i would go for it. The chance for glory is worth the risk you might not have TV for a bit, in my humble opinion.
  22. calculus1
    I think Brad’s first call map seems pretty spot on with where we stand. My early call to colleagues at work today here in Hickory was 2-4 inches. Of course, I gave the usual caveats that it could be more and it could be less: Snow in the SE is never an easy forecast. So, put that all together, and I went out on a limb with a forecast of 0-12 inches for Hickory. Bank on it!
  23. calculus1
    Absolutely! We have quite a few classics around here. Maybe the old Yesterday’s on NC 127 that’s now a plasma donation center will have a special sparkle with a couple inches of snow on the roof. We do get great views of Grandfather Mountain from US 321-N approaching the Catawba River on clear days. We just imagine what it must be like to have snow on the ground around us rather than a few short miles to our west and a half-plus mile up.
  24. calculus1
    That’s awesome, guys! Glad you could get together and do that. The pictures were amazing!
  25. calculus1
    I always feel this way now. We have been burned for far too long. 100% agree. On a positive note, it appears we will have no issue with the cold, no matter which model we are viewing. The QPF is the issue here. We need the storm to wind up and move up the coast for us to get those bigger totals. Of course, that brings in more mixing for those to our south and east. If it just slides along underneath us and out to sea, we are looking at much lighter totals than we could have in the first scenario.
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