calculus1

Nothing in NW Hickory, even though radar is lit up overhead. Dry air…

The Canadian is glorious too. A snowstorm for most of the Carolinas.

Down to 36.7/35 IMBY. Loving the GFS trends. Hope they are reflected elsewhere.

Here is the 18Z RGEM:

Surface temperature is falling slowly IMBY. Down to 38.7/37...

850s continuing to move south and east...

Current 850mb temperatures:

https://twitter.com/SethMonteith150/status/1483902598734397442?s=20

https://twitter.com/webberweather/status/1483813679661563907?s=20

I am not a meteorologist, but I’ve got a pretty good background in mathematics. Having taught the calculus sequence for many years, I can tell you that most students do not find the concepts of calculus that difficult. However, the algebra required to manipulate expressions so that the calculus can be applied is where they get tripped up. My suggestion: really brush up on your algebra skills. Practice, practice, practice with your ability to factor complex polynomial, rational, and transcendental expressions. If you can do that well, you won’t have much difficulty with taking derivatives and integrals. Best wishes with wherever you decide to pursue your degree in meteorology. Don’t be afraid to talk to your professors and seek their help outside of class. Most will actually appreciate that you are interested in learning and are willing to apply yourself.

Here they go again with their meaningless precision probabilities… 32%….

Yeah, really like where the NAM is going at the end of the run. But, I can’t decide if that’s a good or bad thing, because it’s the 84-hour NAM. Virtually no wintry precipitation for anyone with the stalled out front unless you are on the immediate coastline. But, it gets cranking near the end and possibilities abound…

If it happened a lot, then I might be weary of it. But perhaps we should be leery or even wary of it? Uncertain.

LOL at @franklin NCwx in the main thread saying we need this thing more amped for a decent storm. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk

Same problem here in Black Mountain. The wind is fierce! I think most of the snow is just blowing, as most of the snow showers appear confined to the border counties according to radar, but I’m not positive. Visibility is less than a tenth of a mile right now. Crazy.

Incredibly windy here in Black Mountain this morning. The windows were rattling at various times over night. Want to get back out and go sledding again, but it looks bitterly cold out there. It snowed quite a bit more last night, but I can’t tell for certain how much because the wind has once again blown it all around. So, we have somewhere between 10 and 12 inches of snowfall here for a final count. Awesomeness!

Good snowfall still coming down here in Black Mountain. We’re around 10 inches.

So, what’s it looking like on the ground now? Still around 5 inches total? @avianman

Yeah, it was snowing great while we were sledding, which made it difficult to sled. Right now, the visibility is really low, though. So, it’s fun to watch it fall back from the warmth of the house. Back down to 28 degrees. 29 was the high.

Just got back in from a couple hours of sledding with the family. It was great, except that the wind is so fierce it would blow in your face. Also, it’s such a fine powder, it took a while to get a good track laid. The tubes worked better than the traditional plastic sleds. It’s impossible to know how much we have now, but it is pouring snow at the moment. Most areas in the yard measure between 8 and 9, but that was beaten down by sleet for a few hours, so it may be actually closer to 10 or so. Dunno. Lots of fun here!

Oh, and we’re up to around 8 total inches of mostly snow and a little sleet.

Still sleeting here in Black Mountain. Temp has risen to 28 too. It was 23 about two hours ago. Really hoping it switches back to snow soon.

Back to heavy sleet here now in Black Mountain again.

Big puffy cotton balls coming down now. Just a little bit of sleet mixed in. Biggest flakes so far today.