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calculus1

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Everything posted by calculus1

  1. I think we've gotten soft recently, regarding rainfall. My wife's boss referred to this weekend as a 100-year rain event for Hickory and wants them to work from home on Friday. What?! I have a conference ending early on Friday in Surry County, NC, because of potential bad weather; i.e., heavy rain. Really?! HS football has been moved up a day in Hickory because of Hurricane Ian. We can't play in rain?! Since when did we begin to cancel things because of rain? This is nuts. I think we get 2-3 inches of rain maximum in Hickory, NC. We can get that much in a single summer afternoon with thunderstorms. Maybe I am wrong and we get 10 inches of rain, but I don't get all the panicking in interior NC outside the mountains. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  2. Same here in Hickory, NC. We got 0.62 inch of rainfall last night due to a rogue storm on the frontal passage, but that was the first measurable rainfall in weeks. We need the rain here.
  3. Been pretty boring weather-wise, recently. Picked up a heavy rain shower this afternoon, though -- 1.86 inches in about one half of an hour. That brings my yearly total up to 29.10 inches of rainfall, just off my ten-year average pace (see below in signature).
  4. Crazy dynamics with this system. All day snow blowing in Boone. Never any accumulation after sun came up, though, but the mood flakes were fantastic. Then, driving back down US 321, even witnessed snow/graupel at Cheek's Crossing outside Lenoir and between Lenoir and Taylorsville on NC 90. The crazy thing about this is that the temperature was at 50! That was a 15 degree difference from Blowing Rock to the bottom of the mountain, and yet the snow still survived the journey to the ground. I'm pretty sure that's the warmest ground temperature I have witnessed snow falling at. Crazy. And pretty cool. [emoji16] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  5. At App State's Open House with my daughter today. It is bitter outside, but the flakes flying in the air are beautiful! Just a light dusting here in Boone proper. It helps the flowers pop against the white background. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  6. The endless obsession with ground temps gets old in the main thread. How many times do we have to rehash this? Anyway, whether it accumulates or not, just seeing snow fall is always a win in my book.
  7. Wow! That's significantly more icing than we got in NW Hickory. Newton is further to our SE, but it appears you got the goods, there. Incredibly long icicles for something that was supposed to be so minor.
  8. 30.1/28 in my similarly located backyard. Same ice observations. Tiny icicles formed too. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  9. Temperature really dropped once the rain began here. Down to 30.2/27. Can still drop a bit based on the dewpoint.
  10. Temperature is rising here rather quickly now. Up to 28.9/23 now after being down to 27.4/20 only half an hour ago. Who knows what will happen in the morning…
  11. It’s now 27.4/20 here in NW Hickory… WWA just issued by NWS GSP… Perhaps a light ice glaze in the morning… Would prefer to see sleet, though.
  12. Currently 27.6/19 here in NW Hickory? Will there be a bit of a winter weather surprise in the AM? We shall see... Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  13. Well, Adam Schefter used unnamed sources to report Tom Brady was retiring yesterday, and let's just say there's been a bit of pushback. Just sayin'. It's kinda difficult to argue with the math behind @cbmclean's calculations. And, the word average can indicate either the mean, the median, or the mode. Most people understand the word average to mean the mean, but the mean is the measure of central tendency that is most susceptible to having extreme values skew it's value, in this case, positively. If you remove the Carolina Crusher year from the above dataset, you will find the mean annual snowfall in RDU is only 4.4 inches, and that's still keeping in the two unusual values above 14 inches. Take those two out, and the mean is even closer to the median value of 2.5 inches. I would argue the median is a much better measurement of the typical annual snowfall in a location that has such extreme variability. While RDU can definitely have a year or two here and there with a double-digit snowfall total, it's much more the exception than the rule. Thus, I would make the argument that RDU is already above average (the median average) in snowfall for this winter. Anything else is gravy.
  14. 15 in Hickory. My in-laws reported 10 in Black Mountain. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  15. Yep, @Hvward was right on with his map for Catawba County. Completely blanked. My in-laws in Black Mountain are reporting around 2 inches. We're heading up there this afternoon. Hard to believe that somewhere in Swannanoa got 8 inches, as that's only like 3 miles away from their house.
  16. I measured a big fat goose egg in Hickory, NC. Not even a skiff of snow on the roof. I do have a lot of frozen rainwater on my freshly stained (oil-based) deck, though. So, there's that. It is fun to see all the SC places getting snow that so rarely get to experience it. I'm happy for them, most especially. Thanks for all the posted tweets, @WinstonSalemArlington.
  17. Decent radar returns overhead in Hickory right now, but nothing surviving to the ground. I thought we would be saturated by now…
  18. That’s what my mulch looks like, but it’s not really precipitating at all right now. Hope there is more to come.
  19. Went out to eat with the family here in Hickory. Just got back home. Was surprised to find a dusting on the mulch. Seemed to be all rain in the headlights on the way home. Temperature is 34.5 right now. Just drizzle right now. Probably need heavier returns to get back to snow.
  20. The lack of robust discussion in this thread is telling…
  21. I think they are accounting for the lee-side minimum in these WWAs. The centers of Caldwell, Burke, McDowell, etc. appear to have the least likely chances to meet WWA criteria, so they decided not to issue them. I would feel better about my own chances if I were on the eastern side of Catawba County. I think the NW corner, where I am, has the least likely chance of getting accumulating snowfall in this setup.
  22. Waking up to Winter Weather Advisories across the NC piedmont. Generally 1-2 inches. Modeled snowfall output has grown rather anemic, though, overall. I would love to get a whole inch of snow tonight. Anything greater than that would seem a nice bonus at this point.
  23. That 2009 storm was absolute torture for those of us living in Caldwell County. That lee side minimum was horrific.
  24. I hate your map, Hunter. That is all. Catawba County is hung out to dry…. To be clear, I have no issue with its likely veracity. I just don’t like what it portends for Hickory.
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