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calculus1

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Everything posted by calculus1

  1. Here's the most recent meteogram for KHKY adjusted for 6:1 snow ratios (rather than the default 11:1). Based on this site, two inches or so also appears to be a good blend of the other models for my location.
  2. Recent SREF plumes for KHKY. I removed the highest three (each above 7 inches) and the lowest three outputs (each below 1 inch). That results in a mean of 4.17 inches for KHKY. Cut that in half, and two inches or so sounds about right for my locale, I would think. Let's see how it goes:
  3. That's living in the lee of the Apps... Argh! To be fair, the 3KNAM looked to have better potential for the lee than than did the 12K, but it ended at hour 60. Again, the onset of this event for areas outside the mountains continues to be delayed, while the duration may actually be lengthened a bit.
  4. Is it just me, or does this event seem to have slowed down a bit? It now seems like the bulk of the precipitation will come during the daylight hours, according to the GFS this morning.
  5. Yeah, I'll gladly take another half foot on Monday. =)
  6. Several of you have really wonky perceptions of where the mountains actually are in NC. A lot of the western piedmont of North Carolina (essentially north and west of Charlotte) actually do quite well on this model run of the ECMWF-HiRes. Plus, there is a decent snow signature in a horizontal line from Hickory to Raleigh. This looks pretty good to me, with round 2 just emerging for early next week.
  7. Well, we didn't quite make the century mark. We only nabbed 0.10 additional inch since the earlier post, making the month of December close out with 4.94 inches and 2020 close out with 99.46 inches. What a year...in soooo many ways. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  8. I am sitting on 99.36 total inches of rainfall this year, here on the last day of 2020. Can I wring out 0.64 inch prior to midnight? Fingers crossed... Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  9. What is your location? The Blue Ridge Escarpment is a large area. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  10. Drove up to Blowing Rock to have a White Christmas this early afternoon. Sunny and 28 in Lenoir but snow squalls and 13 in Blowing Rock, a short 10 miles away. Roads were pretty bad up there too. It's amazing the difference in weather in that short distance. 30 back here at home in Hickory, which is an incredibly cold temp for 3 PM in the afternoon under full sun. Merry Christmas to all! Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  11. Dry slotted here, like normal. The cold didn't move in quickly enough. No precipitation left to wrong out of the atmosphere with the downsloping. [emoji3525] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  12. Just a little windy on Mount Washington tonight and tomorrow... https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=44.2703&lon=-71.3033#.X-VKXBZ7lEY
  13. Temp just dropped 10 degrees in half an hour. Went from 52 to 42. Wow! Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  14. Snowing in Black Mountain now. I imagine Marion will flip soon. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  15. Your pictures are beautiful, Buckethead. I totally need to look in to moving to your neighborhood in several years. A man can dream anyway... [emoji16] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  16. Picked up another 1+ inch of rainfall yesterday. (I'm not going to denigrate freezing rain's good name by referring to what fell yesterday as such.) This brings my total to 97.90 inches for the calendar year. Can I make it to 100 inches with about two weeks left in the year?!?! I really hope so, because it seems like such a great landmark event, despite the fact that we don't need anymore rain.
  17. @Bevo, I am not yet old enough to share your sentiment. And, not sure if I ever will be. I'm going to be alongside @strongwxnc enjoying my almost two feet of snow, should I be blessed to see it fall from the sky.
  18. Just a light glaze in the trees. Nothing serious at all here in Hickory.
  19. Yeah, I think the serious freezing rain is going to be limited to the extreme edge of the Blue Ridge, in this particular storm. I just don't think we're going to get too much once you get away from there. You're going to need to be west of Marion, west of Lenoir, west of Wilkesboro, etc. to see any significant icing from this storm, IMO. The Hi-Res NAM really highlights that. I will be surprised if I have anything more than a little glistening in the treetops here in Hickory.
  20. 35/29 here. Dew points aren't low enough to allow for too much wet-bulbing below freezing.
  21. The HiRes NAM has much lower ice totals than these lower resolution models (e.g., NAM and RGEM). I would tend to give it greater credence and doubt those high totals will realize. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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