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calculus1

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Everything posted by calculus1

  1. Webber with the snow shadow forecast in the lee of the Apps. A wide shadow, too. Ugh! I'm hoping I'm just far enough east to avoid most of the downsloping. The more the precipitation feed is oriented SW to NE, the better, IMO. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  2. Yes. That storm sucked. S. U. C. K. E. D. No other way around it. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  3. Thanks for nothing, eyewall. [emoji20] Fully buying the downsloping, you are. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  4. Apps lee-side screw-zone in full effect! I would think if the precipitation truly blossoms that it would fill back in further NW, but maybe that's just wishful thinking...
  5. An "exciting" trace! What we all hope to see. You have to love the dark humor of some mets who write these AFDs.
  6. Thanks for that, eyewall. Ugh. The mountains give (in CAD events), and the mountains take away (in storms from the NW and (sometimes) W directions). Such is life in this incredibly interesting micro-climate. =) Overall, I'm still pretty psyched by this storm, though. This has the most potential all year long.
  7. Once the precipitation turns over to snow, it appears that it never goes back, at least in NC zones of this 12Z run of the NAM.
  8. Yeah, that's not too far south of me. Continued shifts like this put me more and more in the mix. From what I can tell, the warm nose is not predominantly banked up against the mountains in a SW to NE manner but is more oriented W to E. And, it has been moving steadily northward on subsequent runs of the NAM. That's not good for lots of us, given the general NW trend that we are accustomed to.
  9. Fortunately, it turns to solid snow for two-thirds of NC by hour 57 on the 12K NAM.
  10. This is the sounding for KHKY at hour 54 on the 12Z NAM. That 750mb level is too close for comfort to the 32 F line...
  11. Looks like the rates of precipitation quickly cool the atmosphere in NC. Went from rain at hour 48 in KHKY to snow by 51, but it's REALLY close to a mix.
  12. The lee-side snow minimum is ominously hinted at in each of these snow maps that are posted. Regardless of the overall amounts in NC, the lowest totals are consistently forecasted in a strip including Surry, Wilkes, Caldwell, and Burke Counties. That's too close for comfort to me.
  13. Yep, this is just crazy. Fortunately, the new interior drainage system I had installed since the flooding of last July 2019 has worked very well. It's gotten a really good test these first few weeks of the new year. My record rainfall was 76 inches during the 2018 calendar year. This year may give my record a run for its money, as I am on pace for 126 inches of rainfall. (126 is not gonna happen, but still.)
  14. Over an inch and a half of rain yesterday. I'm now up to 15.55 inches on the year, at the halfway mark in February. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  15. Closer view of mountain counties. Just amazing the differences in only 50 miles from Asheville to Lake Toxaway: Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  16. Don't be such a downer, man. It's just beautiful to watch fall. Any day there are flakes in the air is a win. I have one inch for the season, but I am enjoying the beautiful snowfall outside (even though I want even get a dusting before it's over). Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  17. Oh, and congrats to all the SC and GA peeps! Glad you're getting a decent event out of this. I'm a little jealous, and hope we get a good one before the season is over. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  18. Decent light snowfall for about an hour now in Hickory. Too warm and too light of rates to stick. But, sure is pretty to watch. Beautiful Saturday afternoon. [emoji16] Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  19. Finally spitting a few flakes here in Hickory. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  20. 6.29 was my storm total. Crazy wet winter so far. Down to 42.7 here now. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  21. 5.36 inches since midnight here IMBY in Hickory. Just. Crazy. Still pouring outside.
  22. 4.40 inches since midnight here IMBY in Hickory. Rain cranking up again after a brief lull. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
  23. Yeah. Drove by Sapphire Valley yesterday on a tour of local waterfalls. It was rather pathetic-looking. There may not be any snow left at all after today's torrents. Dry falls on the Cullasaja River was rip-rouring, though:
  24. That picture never grows old, Burns. Sent from my moto e5 supra using Tapatalk
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