Floydbuster

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Cleveland OH 403 PM EST Mon Dec 19 2022 OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-202115- Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga- Ashtabula Inland-Hancock-Seneca-Huron-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull- Wyandot-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Stark-Mahoning-Marion-Morrow- Holmes-Knox-Ashtabula Lakeshore-Northern Erie-Southern Erie- 403 PM EST Mon Dec 19 2022 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio, northeast Ohio, northwest Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday. Active weather is expected Friday through the weekend. Widespread cold temperatures and strong winds are expected, with wind chills below zero likely. Accumulating snow is also possible. Stay tuned to the latest forecast as this wintry situation unfolds. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. $$ Cleveland NWS doesn't seem enthusiastic about accumulated snowfall.

000 WTNT62 KNHC 100800 TCUAT2 Hurricane Nicole Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172022 300 AM EST Thu Nov 10 2022 ...NICOLE MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA JUST SOUTH OF VERO BEACH... Radar imagery from Miami and Melbourne shows the center of Nicole has made landfall on the east coast of the Florida peninsula on North Hutchinson Island just south of Vero Beach. The maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 75 mph (120 km/h), and the minimum central pressure is estimated to be 981 mb (28.97 inches). This will be the last hourly update given the degraded radar structure of Nicole. SUMMARY OF 300 AM EST...0800 UTC...INFORMATION --------------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.6N 80.4W ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM NNW OF FORT PIERCE FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES $$ Forecaster Bucci/Reinhart

32 ft waves reported from the buoy off Cape Canaveral.

Unless it's a trick of the eyes, I see a more northwest wobble the last hour.

This is a rare event. I believe Nicole will be one of only three November hurricanes to strike Florida in 100 years.

10:30pm EST Video Update https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6WFEdiLeNTU

Reminds me of when Frances had a large ragged eye on the east coast back in 2004. Not nearly as strong, of course.

Nicole will strengthen over the Gulf Stream, especially with the tighter core.

11am video for those interested https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTYA6J2897s

I found them on google images. Trust me, I'm the exact same way. I used to spend hours and hours going through those Unisys tracks. I miss them.

I still think we don't see much consolidation until Wednesday.

Video Update on Nicole

Looks like the NHC is thinking this becomes another hurricane. Assuming Lisa doesn't have time to reach Category 3, that would put us at 13/7/2.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Df-e275mWqs

Looks like two November hurricanes. I've been preaching all year about these La Nina seasons being active so much later. I've just been surprised we haven't seen a major hurricane in October.

I'm still not taking my eye off the Caribbean until the end of November. La Nina years require extra vigilance watching.

If the system in the Atlantic steals the name "Lisa", then this Caribbean hurricane would become "Martin", which was the replacement name for late-season Caribbean "Matthew", which was the replacement name for late-season Caribbean "Mitch".

Three runs in a row of the GFS model showing a monster hurricane near Puerto Rico first week of November, similar to Lenny 1999.

Looks like we have a new Lemon in the Atlantic. Could become "Lisa" and move westward for the next few days. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Oct 21 2022 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Eastern and Central Subtropical Atlantic: A small non-tropical area of low pressure is located more than 1400 miles east of Bermuda. While this system is currently only producing limited shower activity and environmental conditions are only marginally favorable, recent satellite wind data indicates it has maximum sustained winds near 40 mph. This low is forecast to move quickly westward at 20-25 mph across the subtropical Atlantic towards warmer waters, and could acquire some subtropical or tropical characteristics by early next week. Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Forecaster Papin

Impressive on a global Atlantic/Pacific view

Some huge cold cloudtop bursts. Should cause heavy rains, hopefully the fast motion keeps the mudslides limited. Here's a video update for the night owls. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HtASJZK8Ih4