Floydbuster
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Everything posted by Floydbuster
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HOLY COW.
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3am Bulletin Update on Hurricane Ida, now a Cat 4https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cbgj5wRtxWs
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Those hurricane winds are expanding too, not good for New Orleans or for storm surge.
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Someone asked yesterday why these storms as of late (Michael, Laura, now Ida) seem to deepen towards landfall whereas so many in the past weakened. The answer seems to be storms that wait until the last day to get their act together. Had Ida strengthened into a Cat 4 by Cuba, no way would it have maintained it for a straight 48 hrs without inner core changes and fluctuations.
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Holy cow. Stewart could probably pull the Cat 4 trigger if he wanted.
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116 kts FL still outside the main NE Eyewall.
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Yeah it's possible that the pressure keeps lowering and then the winds end up catching up to 100-120 kts.
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I was just gonna say. I've been kinda blah about Ida's appearance all evening but I think this may finally be the strengthening trend we've been anticipating. Ida is also crossing over the loop current heat as we speak.
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Man it sure looks like Ida is gonna head more towards Southeast Louisiana than Central....and they will definitely be in the right-front quad.
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Yeah. We have to remember, most of Hurricane Laura's surge was over uninhabited wildlife preserve areas. This will likely be different.
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I think the NHC is gonna have to adjust the track east at 5pm. I don't think landfall will be anywhere west of Morgan City/Houma.
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Even as "recent" as Andrew in 1992, we didn't have special updates or fixes from the NHC. (If we did they were never archived)
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I actually thinking moving north will help it. I think the SW quad is slightly crushed right now. Moving away further north could improve the ventilation.
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Hurricane Ida Forecasting Contest
Floydbuster replied to WxWatcher007's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Maximum Sustained Wind Overall (mph): 110Maximum Sustained Wind at Landfall (mph): 110Pressure at Landfall (mb): 954 mbLandfall Location: Morgan City, LA -
There is a generation of spoiled hurricane kids who were born into a high-speed internet Katrina world. They didn't grow up like me checking out hourly tropical updates on the Weather Channel watching storms fail over and over in the 1990s.
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Yep. It's odd watching the "storm cancel" weenies on the weather forums. They expected recon to find a 920 mb storm or something. LOL I went to bed at 1:30am with absolutely no expectation to wake up to anything more than a Cat 1. I'm surprised so many on these weather forums anticipated more. Ida really shouldn't take off until tonight and Sunday. Now if it's still a Cat 1 in 24 hours, then that might mean a weaker storm.
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Something like that. It's all moot point because that entire area will probably be submerged.
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That's my worry. That it dicks around long enough to blow up right before landfall. If it were a Cat 4 now, it'd definitely have time to weaken before landfall.
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Well it shows 115 kt offshore, and 115 kts after landfall, implying they're sticking to their 120 kt landfall forecast.
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THIS. I never understood why the hoity toity crowd used to get their panties in a bunch over it. I grew up in the 1990s watching old documentaries like "A Lady Called Camille".
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11pm Video on Ida https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DPu7UHwCjs4
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SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.4N 80.9W ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ENE OF GRAND CAYMAN ABOUT 310 MI...500 KM ESE OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
