I will say, Southeast Florida has been extremely lucky. Frances could've rolled right into Miami as a Cat 4, instead it sputtered, weakened and sloshed ashore much further north. Had Katrina had an extra 24 hrs over the Bahamas, it would have been a major hurricane over Fort Lauderdale. Matthew just grazed Southeast Florida as a late season Cat 4, and Irma took that south dive into Cuba and the Keys. To say nothing of Dorian, which stopped just offshore West Palm Beach as a 180 mph storm.