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Floydbuster

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Everything posted by Floydbuster

  1. Floydbuster
    I thought Acapulco had a radar site, but I've been searching too and unable to find it.
  2. Floydbuster
    Ditto on the Western Caribbean. The ensembles of the EURO and GEFS continue to show low pressure around the first week of November.
  3. Floydbuster
  4. Floydbuster
    Holy cow look at that symmetry!
  5. Floydbuster
    After Philippe made it all the way to Barbuda, I became slightly more bullish on Tammy making it further west. I often find myself a little more bullish in general with regards to October hurricanes. I've seen many systems struggle until they near the Caribbean and then find a more safe harbor for development. Iris 2001, Lili 2002, Tomas 2010, etc.
  6. Floydbuster
    I thought the name of this thread was a little imbecilic anyways. I knew this could be a hurricane and could get close to the islands. I don't know why so many were so immediately negative on development chances. The wave was strong, model guidance supported development, and we've had 20 named storms this hurricane season.
  7. Floydbuster
    Quite a nasty lashing for Barbuda, still an obvious far cry from Irma
  8. Floydbuster
    Hurricane Tammy has strengthened a bit up to 80 mph as the core gets close to Martinique and Dominica.
  9. Floydbuster
  10. Floydbuster
    Seems like four scenarios thus far: 1. Strong major hurricane (like Lee) taking track north of islands 2. Strong major hurricane striking islands 3. Weaker storm/hurricane (Like Nigel and Philippe) taking track north of islands 4. Weaker storm (Like Bret) striking islands
  11. Floydbuster
    Wow do those EURO ensembles make Invest 94L a monster hurricane in the Caribbean.
  12. Floydbuster
  13. Floydbuster
  14. Floydbuster
    As long as Philippe dissipates by the Caribbean and doesn't bring some kind of vorticity into the Northwest Caribbean.
  15. Floydbuster
    I suspect we still have more activity to come.
  16. Floydbuster
    This will be designated Tropical Storm Nigel at 11pm.
  17. Floydbuster
    It's still amazing how far Lee made it considering it developed so far east and became so intense. All the way off Maine is pretty far west for a Cape Verde hurricane.
  18. Floydbuster
    Still would watch the waves that progress west towards the Caribbean. I remember Hurricane Iris in October 2001 came from a heavily sheared wave in the eastern and central Atlantic that eventually made it into the Caribbean Sea.
  19. Floydbuster
  20. Floydbuster
    Video Update on Lee https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_fiR9IOZnBE For how bad Lee looks on satellite, recon still shows this is a very powerful hurricane. Easy 100 mph and large.
  21. Floydbuster
    Many do, but some show a much closer Bahamas approach than Lee ever came to. And now the 12Z GFS has a New England landfall in the long-range. Definitely something to watch regardless.
  22. Floydbuster
    The long-range GFS has a 1996 scenario with Hurricane Lee taking a track similar to Hurricane Edouard '96 and a new system slamming into North Carolina as the worst strike since Hurricane Fran '96. This season just feels so much like '96, especially with that constant wave train.
  23. Floydbuster
    Don't be surprised to see another storm or two off Africa before the Cape Verde season turns off.
  24. Floydbuster
    Video Update on Lee
  25. Floydbuster
    The weakening of Lee reminds me a lot of Hurricane Frances in 2004, when it was unexpectedly undercut by shear.
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