Ralph Wiggum

I miss when we used to start tracking under 100 hours now the bar is 10 days.

They did say the pattern would flip after Jan 20 so there's that. Never did say warm or cold

It is honking at H5 for sure.

Someone read between the lines of my post at least.

Gradient ftmfw

Western to central PAC still screaming tho the look off the W Coast admittedly has improved. GEFS/GEPS have generally similar looks.

It's Saturday. It's raining.

Lol -45F in SE Canada on the LR FV3 but somehow DC is 33F:

The unicorns look festive and cheery but we should still keep our expectations in check. Worst case scenario would be a miss with one of the systems ushering in the cold then the PV taking over and we go frigid cold but dry. It's a possibility but I think there will be fluctuations with several dips/retractions from the PV and our times to cash in will be in between. Speculation of course.

FV3CPO at range has -20s fairly deep into the Plains and -30s just North of the Great Lakes. PV is coming South this run geez. Not sure I want that spreading East or not

We went from barely anything to track to so many threats and chances thru 384 hrs+ I dont know which to post as there are several drool worthy looks. This FV3 h5 map is calling to me....my goodness: Eta: just shift things a hair farther east and dive that NS

Didnt realize those signings they made. Very impressive! I was NEVER big on them spending 350$ million on a Harper or Machado. They made some significant improvements as you said....I can live with that. Another solid ace would be nice but maybe that's a pickup they make when they are on the cusp of being a contender. Was glad to see Santana go. Herrera needs to have a more consistently productive year in 2019. On the right track Phinally! Now about those Flyers lol.....

Yeah get those pretty orange/red out of Nova Scotia and replace with a nice blue balls 50/50.

Who's staying up for the Euro?

Are they even going to sign any big name players or are they holding out for Trout in 2020?

Hear hear!!

We have dead puppies, bunnies, and horns being ripped from unicorns. It's as if nobody even cares. Sheesh you people are ruthless.

Fringed In all seriousness that's the period that has looked most favorable for a few days now Jan 12-14. Also of note all globals and ens generally flip the crud pattern over alot earlier than previously modeled. That period ushers in winter whether the particular storm u posted a map of verifies or not. Looks to be here to stay thereafter. Busy times ahead. Where is Paul after he was starting to get a little nervous about his winter outlook? Btw Iceman did u see the control? Both our winter forecasts could be busted by end of next weekend lol.

Starting to get some SECS MECS and KU HECS showing up on guidance. We are getting somehwere.

Cue the 'It's Happening' meme.

How is that even possible? The DC snow hole is real: FV3

That wasnt very well-modeled either in advance.

Nice!!

Nice storm signal also showing up Jan 12-14. At least the activity isn't slowing down.

The tanking SOI and dramatic sudden pressure increases on the PV with wind reversals are dead giveaways....this wont be gradual. Hopefully it sticks around like the weeklies suggest and this isn't merely a transient flip which i do not believe to be the case.