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CT Rain

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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    Yeah they're all over the place here. They always seem pretty spooked when they come across a human.
  2. CT Rain
    There are a lot here WOR. I see one every few months. Almost never bother people - just looking for food in trash cans.
  3. CT Rain
    You're a bizarre person.
  4. CT Rain
    93 BAF. The wind was pretty funky today. Hartford had a southerly wind this afternoon while BDL managed to switch to a SW or WSW breeze a few times when they spiked their temp. probably helped limit Sound influence and a bit of a downslope assist.
  5. CT Rain
    He keeps them in until Thanksgiving so why not?
  6. CT Rain
    No power for the UConn game?
  7. CT Rain
    Could be a severe threat Saturday WOR. The NAM and GFS have strong low level shear along with some modest surface based instability. The NAM in particular has 0-3km ~125j/kg in western Mass with quite a bit of 0-3km helicity. Worth watching along with a damaging gradient wind threat ahead of the fropa.
  8. CT Rain
    We went through an entire decade of incorrect 30 year normals for snowfall because they used 0s instead of Ms for the 3 years of missing BDL snowfall data.
  9. CT Rain
    The records are an absolute mess around here for snowfall. Not sure why the disconnect between the WFOs and NCEI over the last couple decades here.
  10. CT Rain
    That nipple low is hanging out over E CT still. Should fill in shortly but that's what really screwed Kevin and NE CT overnight. A little tongue of warmth in the boundary layer - you could even see it between 9p and midnight when temperatures rose at IJD and the mesonet sites in E CT while they continued to fall HFD/BDL and points west. Now we wait for the 700mb low to consolidated and crash the comma head to the south and east. HRRR has ~0.5" liquid from 15z-21z for Hartford!
  11. CT Rain
    TBH most models are showing it. That sfc/925 low just sort of rot over C CT and torch just EOR. Ugly setup.
  12. CT Rain
    ORH Hills are going to get destroyed. Looks like a pretty exceptional setup developing there.
  13. CT Rain
    It's the remnant of the low level inverted trough. You can see it on a bunch of the models actually just around the 925mb low. I think this is going to be a large bust for most of CT outside of western areas which still looks quite good.
  14. CT Rain
    That's a weird ass look. Most of the models have it too.
  15. CT Rain
    I know. They're going to rip all night. What elevation are you at in Canton? Our weather watcher in Wolcott is flipping over now at 1kft.
  16. CT Rain
    I doubt higher. Think 6ish is reasonable for you guys. The entire area from you down to Hartford on I-84 is probably my biggest uncertainty right now. I could see a bit of everything. Overperformer western areas and underperformer east.
  17. CT Rain
    Yeah I think being west will help you quite a bit. In fact OXC is already down to 37.
  18. CT Rain
    Thank you! I feel pretty confident about the hills and even your area. Valley around Hartford/BDL is a tough call. My gut says mainly rain but wouldn't take much to flip over for a few hours of paste.
  19. CT Rain
    It still has a big cold bias these days so can only rely on it so much.
  20. CT Rain
    The 18z GFS is quite nice still.
  21. CT Rain
    Here's my updated map. Caveat being I didn't really pay much attention to things for RI and E Mass.
  22. CT Rain
    Yeah out this way it looks good... but E Mass doesn't make much sense. Should be a good latitude gradient there.
  23. CT Rain
    BOX map looks OK to me for CT / W Mass though not sure about E Mass.
  24. CT Rain
    Looks better than 6z to me?
  25. CT Rain
    Yup. It is definitely a step in the right direction.
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