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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    Yeah just not feeling this one. The Cape could still get hit hard though.
  2. CT Rain
    Would be great for any model other than the GFS/GEFS to get on board.
  3. CT Rain
    How may will perish?
  4. CT Rain
    Jesus
  5. CT Rain
    17.0" here
  6. CT Rain
    Yikes. Already up to you
  7. CT Rain
    50/50 NAM/Euro blend probably makes sense right now.
  8. CT Rain
    You're not angering anyone you're just taking the time to look at output that might as well been created by Kevin after 3 zimas and a box of colored pencils. You do you though!
  9. CT Rain
    Yeah Euro cooled a bit but no change in QPF. We take.
  10. CT Rain
    Probably drop for southern 1/3 to 8-12 and keep 12-18 inland.
  11. CT Rain
    8" for Kevin and 18" for you? Yikes.
  12. CT Rain
    From 6z to 12z the NAM is certainly juicier with QPF but no real change in the sleet penetration. So overall a plus I guess.
  13. CT Rain
    It's worse.
  14. CT Rain
    Nam is perilously close to a ton of sleet for most of CT/RI/SE Mass.
  15. CT Rain
    I was thinking that too. Seems possible.
  16. CT Rain
    It's too dependent on surface temps when once you're below 31 or 32F they don't make any difference at all. The key is to figure out how efficiently snowflakes are produced (maximized around -15C) and the favored crystal type which impacts the density of the snowfall (ratio). For any real skill you have to look at where lift is maximized and at what temperature and also the depth of the DGZ (-12c to -18c). Kuchera would do OK if you're right around 32F because it would skew numbers down in that case not due to bad snow growth but due to melting/compacting.
  17. CT Rain
    I have 10-18" for the state. Just post the straight QPF and adjust as necessary in your head based on expected ratio. They're just not good.
  18. CT Rain
    Can we stop with the stupid Kuchera maps?
  19. CT Rain
    And it's normally right
  20. CT Rain
    NAM is sort of a torch lol
  21. CT Rain
    Just uploaded a new youtube video after some of the 12z guidance. You may find it a bit interesting - or not lol https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tb_0phGpeCs
  22. CT Rain
    Love kissing the DGZ on the ground.
  23. CT Rain
    It's a real mess. PHI put out a map and then annotated on it to expect less due to mixing. Like huh?
  24. CT Rain
    The NWS forecasts have sort of been a mess. Watch text not matching maps, maps changing quickly, etc. Seems like it's NBM gone awry.
  25. CT Rain
    Woody slots around midnight lol
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