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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    You're totally locked into 12-18" in your head.
  2. CT Rain
    Yeah I debated heading out of the city but figured I might as well just stay there. Dallas gets it a bit longer than Fort Worth.
  3. CT Rain
    Might as well just stay in Dallas, right? I'm flying into DFW on Sunday.
  4. CT Rain
    You haven't been in the 20s yet?
  5. CT Rain
    It was a 1-sec gust and not the 3-sec ASOS standard. I wonder what a reasonable conversion factor would be between 1-sec and 3-sec. Maybe 85%?
  6. CT Rain
    Can't say i've ever looked at a Reggie wind gust map. Probably won't start now lol
  7. CT Rain
    They spit out 50-60 knots for every event like this. Very few actually do it. My point was that this one it was clear that it was possible given how the soundings looked.
  8. CT Rain
    The raw wind gust maps from the models are such a cancer. They're almost completely worthless. Looking at the soundings on BUFKIT you could see as early as Friday that this one had potential to be a big problem in spots in a way that the typical events don't.
  9. CT Rain
    What a bummer for ski country. Okemo was a lot of fun this weekend. Certainly not great but the snow was soft and the crowds weren't bad at all.
  10. CT Rain
    The soundings on the GFS and Euro aren't really meh at the moment.
  11. CT Rain
    Yup. Meh.
  12. CT Rain
    GFS turns Monday AM into a decent snowstorm for Vermont.
  13. CT Rain
    You're just making things up.
  14. CT Rain
    @OceanStWx needs to get to work on this!
  15. CT Rain
    Not too dissimilar from Windsor Locks on 10/10/1979.
  16. CT Rain
    That was a fun storm.
  17. CT Rain
    Yup. Agreed. Was shocked at how well it handled virtually anything I threw at it last winter.
  18. CT Rain
    I have Enforcer 104s that I got last year and love them. I ski out west a decent bit but also do a couple weekends in new England... was worried about the 104s but I thought they handled very well on groomers. I'm really happy with them.
  19. CT Rain
    There was a pretty long duration TDS with this thing. From Brooklyn/Killingly all the way to RI/MA border. Pretty subtle and dropped here or there but could be a relatively long track spinner.
  20. CT Rain
    Zzzzzzzz
  21. CT Rain
    May have to watch the mixing on the back side of the storm. With a decent pressure gradient if we're able to keep the sun we could see some fairly good northwesterly gusts even inland. Even the GFS has ~40 knots at the top of the mixed layer back here.
  22. CT Rain
    Who's going to put the nail in this thing's coffin and start a Lee thread?
  23. CT Rain
    That warm front means business for NYC/LI and maybe coastal SNE. Pretty classic sunrise tornado look.
  24. CT Rain
    Pretty favorable CAPE/shear setup around 00z as far east as I-91. If the NAM is right with the front timing Sunday could be fun for the coast Boston, Providence, New Haven, etc. Quite a bit of CAPE and deep layer shear. Could be some decent hail.
  25. CT Rain
    NAM definitely has a nice severe threat on Sunday. Steep mid level lapse rates (~7c/km), MLCAPE over 2500 j/kg, and about 40 knots of deep layer shear. Could definitely see some big hailers and wind if that verifies. Favored areas probably include the coast with the front overhead and westerly flow.
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