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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    Did you even look at anything or are you just trolling?
  2. CT Rain
    I like how the h5 low closes off a bit as it moves offshore. A couple days ago it seemed like the thing was sort of shearing out and dampening some.
  3. CT Rain
    OK
  4. CT Rain
    That improved confluence to the north increases the risk of suppression but it definitely helps with better cold air source and even better frontogenesis with a stronger baroclinic zone. Sort of playing with fire but I like the look now a lot better than 2 days ago.
  5. CT Rain
    No doubt overattribution along with some junk science (the stuff from Jennifer Francis has been pretty widely debunked, for example). But there's some stuff that seems pretty clear.... it's not much of a mystery as to what's happening.
  6. CT Rain
    And it's more than just that too... lower static stability over warm(er) waters, potential for stronger baroclinicity along the coast sometimes with a higher base state in water temps. Lots of second order effects here. I think there's a pretty strong case for an increase in the severity of some winter storms in the NE US/Atl Canada among other things (decrease in snow depth days, etc).
  7. CT Rain
    That's awesome. Glad you had a good time and can't wait to see more!
  8. CT Rain
    I was there last year and it rained every day in the village and was sunny in the alpine. 0" base in the village and >100" in the alpine. It's the craziest weather variation I've ever seen day in and day out.
  9. CT Rain
    Whistler
  10. CT Rain
    Incredible. They've had a pretty brutal season but we lucked out. Fresh powder most mornings and they had just enough snow the last couple weeks to open up the whole alpine. Looks like a disaster there now with heavy rain continuing.
  11. CT Rain
    It's pretty close to the 50th percentile NBM (which is also spitting out 16:1 or 17:1 ratios in RI and E Mass).
  12. CT Rain
    30 for you
  13. CT Rain
    Was thinking the same thing. There are a few Tippy stemwinders coming right up over SNE sub-970mb.
  14. CT Rain
    Where'd Kevin's ice storm go?
  15. CT Rain
    It's confusing following a million weenies on Twitter!
  16. CT Rain
    Downsloping off the Tug Hill?
  17. CT Rain
    Even better in Watertown! KART 100256Z AUTO 14025G68KT 10SM SCT110 09/03 A2899 RMK AO2 PK WND 14068/0252 SLP818 60001 T00890028 56130
  18. CT Rain
    Also 3km NAM is showing widespread 50-60 knot gusts around DC at 21z. Not happening.
  19. CT Rain
    Soundings do not look conducive to a damaging southerly wind event. Certainly nowhere near as impressive as the 12/18 event. If we get damaging wind it would be from a QLCS but there's very little instability modeled. I don't see much in most areas the way it looks right now.
  20. CT Rain
    I don't see much of a damaging wind threat. Soundings look far more inverted than the last couple events.
  21. CT Rain
    7.0" here in West Hartford. Waiting for round 2 to begin!
  22. CT Rain
    Yeah was just thinking the same thing.
  23. CT Rain
    Over 4" here in West Hartford and ripping.
  24. CT Rain
    KDP shows some exceptional dendritic growth in that band from near Hartford all the way back to NW NJ. If you look up into the DGZ (~15kft up) you can see KDP values occasionally reaching 1deg/km which tells you you're getting some exceptional snow growth. Big time reports under that band in NW NJ and SE NY... hopefully parts of CT can cash in.
  25. CT Rain
    Some 9"/10" reports in NW NJ. That band put down a ton of dendrites from NW NJ into SE NY (and probably NW CT too).
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