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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    NAM is definitely warmer around here. Even for Litchfield County a great thump through 12z and then we warm up quite a bit after that with sleet/rain.
  2. CT Rain
    I wouldn't expect much where you are. Not a great location for an event like this. A 5 minute drive to North Canton will get you in the goods though!
  3. CT Rain
    Yup agreed. Maybe Burlington too but that's about it.
  4. CT Rain
    In CT? The Rt 10 corridor is pretty low elevation. That area rarely does well.
  5. CT Rain
    Yeah the 12km run looks weird. Much different look on 3km.
  6. CT Rain
    I'm struggling there. I wasn't even being a jerk to Kevin... just seems like longitude may hurt by 1 or 2F compared to Litchfield Co.
  7. CT Rain
    Yeah the map has warning criteria snow for one town. They never normally issue warnings for the whole county when that happens so idk what that's all about.
  8. CT Rain
    This is their snow map.
  9. CT Rain
    First cut pending the 18z NAM
  10. CT Rain
    I agree. I think 6-12 is a good bet in that area.
  11. CT Rain
    INteresting to see the snow probabilities from the NBM and WPC be so low too. Basically <10% chance of >1" of snow for Tolland/Union. Even NW CT is pretty low.
  12. CT Rain
    Yeah it's close. Was thinking the easterly flow probably hurts him a bit compared to NW CT. Even the hires models (3km NAM/HRRR) are a good 2F cooler at 2m to the west. Seems like some longitude assist WOR.
  13. CT Rain
    Think the boundary layer is cold enough even for Kev? Litchfield County looks good to me but the soundings EOR not looking great to me right now.
  14. CT Rain
    Yeah it can't go too crazy given the upper level setup. Not like we're getting a crazy bomb that's closing off at 500mb. It's sort of a SWFE with some redevelopment off the coast.
  15. CT Rain
    Will be an interesting event for sure. Something a bit more dynamic with that op GFS track would be fun.
  16. CT Rain
    My worry with that is they're just weaker which isn't really great either. Not sure the op GFS would get it done with a weaker and more strung out system.
  17. CT Rain
    Yeah you can see that on the model 2m temps... there's definitely a bit of longitude assist there. I think Litchfield Hills and Berkshires will do very well being a bit farther west plus some upslope assist/cooling.
  18. CT Rain
    That's close to a pounding for the valley too around here.
  19. CT Rain
    Sure does
  20. CT Rain
    NW CT and Berkshires may get hit hard. Not sure it'll work east of there with all that easterly flow.
  21. CT Rain
    Actually colder here in the Valley then on Mount Tolland!
  22. CT Rain
    NAM is a pretty impressive paste bomb around here
  23. CT Rain
    Agree with this. Definitely need something stronger to be a fun event for the masses.
  24. CT Rain
    Thinking about Mount Snow Saturday as long as the Friday system doesn't turn into a fiasco.
  25. CT Rain
    Yeah next week looks interesting
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