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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    The records are an absolute mess around here for snowfall. Not sure why the disconnect between the WFOs and NCEI over the last couple decades here.
  2. CT Rain
    That nipple low is hanging out over E CT still. Should fill in shortly but that's what really screwed Kevin and NE CT overnight. A little tongue of warmth in the boundary layer - you could even see it between 9p and midnight when temperatures rose at IJD and the mesonet sites in E CT while they continued to fall HFD/BDL and points west. Now we wait for the 700mb low to consolidated and crash the comma head to the south and east. HRRR has ~0.5" liquid from 15z-21z for Hartford!
  3. CT Rain
    TBH most models are showing it. That sfc/925 low just sort of rot over C CT and torch just EOR. Ugly setup.
  4. CT Rain
    ORH Hills are going to get destroyed. Looks like a pretty exceptional setup developing there.
  5. CT Rain
    It's the remnant of the low level inverted trough. You can see it on a bunch of the models actually just around the 925mb low. I think this is going to be a large bust for most of CT outside of western areas which still looks quite good.
  6. CT Rain
    That's a weird ass look. Most of the models have it too.
  7. CT Rain
    I know. They're going to rip all night. What elevation are you at in Canton? Our weather watcher in Wolcott is flipping over now at 1kft.
  8. CT Rain
    I doubt higher. Think 6ish is reasonable for you guys. The entire area from you down to Hartford on I-84 is probably my biggest uncertainty right now. I could see a bit of everything. Overperformer western areas and underperformer east.
  9. CT Rain
    Yeah I think being west will help you quite a bit. In fact OXC is already down to 37.
  10. CT Rain
    Thank you! I feel pretty confident about the hills and even your area. Valley around Hartford/BDL is a tough call. My gut says mainly rain but wouldn't take much to flip over for a few hours of paste.
  11. CT Rain
    It still has a big cold bias these days so can only rely on it so much.
  12. CT Rain
    The 18z GFS is quite nice still.
  13. CT Rain
    Here's my updated map. Caveat being I didn't really pay much attention to things for RI and E Mass.
  14. CT Rain
    Yeah out this way it looks good... but E Mass doesn't make much sense. Should be a good latitude gradient there.
  15. CT Rain
    BOX map looks OK to me for CT / W Mass though not sure about E Mass.
  16. CT Rain
    Looks better than 6z to me?
  17. CT Rain
    Yup. It is definitely a step in the right direction.
  18. CT Rain
    I have 3-6 for that area... so 3ish seems ok.
  19. CT Rain
    How so?
  20. CT Rain
    Yeah my point is that the 6z Euro isn't necessarily a crushing for you. It's just a mild solution overall.
  21. CT Rain
    Boundary layer still looks pretty marginal up your way on the Euro. A bit of elevation would definitely help.
  22. CT Rain
    NAM looks good to me for many.
  23. CT Rain
    3km NAM is very similar to the HRRR. Wildly different solutions and just a really weird setup. Not sure what to make of it.
  24. CT Rain
    Yeah worked for you and the Monadnocks for sure.
  25. CT Rain
    I'd prefer it to the Euro trash solution.
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