yoda

Hot take right here

A page over arguing the HWRF in the main thread

Looks like a mature bow echo will be coming through overnight URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 406 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northern and central Alabama Northeastern Arkansas Central and northern Mississippi Southern middle and southwestern Tennessee * Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1020 PM until 600 AM CDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts to 80 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A well-organized cluster and separate bow echo initially over eastern Arkansas, each with a well-developed wind signature and history of severe gusts, will proceed into and across the watch area. These systems could merge as well. Severe thunderstorm wind will remain the main threat, though an embedded tornado or two also is possible.

There's a risk each day as well... don't see that at all before either I believe. I think this is like the 3rd time ever SPC has had a Day 8 risk?

LWX had a great write up in their evening AFD that I posted in the catchall severe thread... dunno what Wakefield is saying though

TOG near Fuquay-Varina... was decent for a moment looking at CC ETA: Solak posted image above

Tornado warning for DeKalb, Rutherford, Wilson and Cannon counties until 3:15pm

If true, that's just... wow

Drip drip drip is what's going on outside right now for him

But I thought you were only getting 2 inches? And the GFS only showed 0.3" QPF? What happened?

I hope so as well, but didnt you guys up north do well in the November storm?

Damn, I didnt think you would reach 10"... congrats

My 8.5 sounds good then

As of 1pm

@nj2va @mattie g Those around me, how much do you have at 6pm? I measured just over 8.5

Tries for another .2 to. 3 of QPF near DCA lol

https://mobile.twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1084547772060188673 https://mobile.twitter.com/islivingston/status/1084547798052278272

Oooh https://mobile.twitter.com/antmasiello/status/1084546839486054400

Some have already closed... though they are the usual

Afternoon LWX AFD:

https://mobile.twitter.com/islivingston/status/1084542703508119557

Short Term Forecast National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1211 PM EST Sun Jan 13 2019 DCZ001-MDZ504-VAZ052>054-506-131900- District of Columbia-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Eastern Loudoun- Including the cities of Washington, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Leesburg, Ashburn, and Sterling 1211 PM EST Sun Jan 13 2019 .NOW... A band of moderate to heavy snow is developing and moving into Washington DC and its southwestern suburbs. Visibility may be reduced to a quarter mile. Snowfall rates of a half to one inch per hour are possible. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect until midnight.

Same here... giant flakes

Am I reading the 12z models right? Showing an additional 2 to 4 along i95 corridor possible?

I hope we do that this afternoon and evening