yoda

It will change... but its fun to see the bolded Zone Forecast Product National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 341 AM EST Sat Dec 19 2020 DCZ001-VAZ054-191200- District of Columbia-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Including the cities of Washington, Arlington, Alexandria, and Falls Church 341 AM EST Sat Dec 19 2020 .REST OF THE OVERNIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. North winds around 5 mph. .TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s. Light and variable winds, becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. .TONIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers in the morning. Patchy fog. Highs in the lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. South winds around 5 mph in the evening, becoming light and variable. .MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of rain 40 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s. .CHRISTMAS DAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of snow showers. Cooler with highs in the mid 30s.

2m Temp on 00z GFS at 1am on Christmas Day: 25 degrees 2m Temp on 00z EURO at 1am on Christmas Day: 59 degrees

Not quite sure where 00z UKIE is going at 144 tbh... 1030 HP in S MN with a SLP of 1005mb near Mobile Bay, AL

Quite true -- and you are right re the snow maps considering the last "storm" lol. However, once we change to snow, its going to be a real heavy wet snow, which will stick to everything quickly IMO. Be it 1 inch or 5 inches... its going to cause issues. And there is going to be a powerful LLJ with this system as well, which LWX covered in their afternoon AFD.

A low does develop along the front and deepens as it goes north... is at 988mb in S VA as it gets ready to move by us

It would have been a nice hit for all if the SLP was a bit slower/developed a bit later. As you said, it's still there and we've got 144 hours of fun to invest in this event lol

Very cold Christmas Day however... highs are 15 in the mountains to maybe 25 in the cities across the LWX CWA

Powerful cold front nonetheless... at 138 its 57 degrees at DCA... at 141 its 33 degrees

Still there on the 00z GFS... but the SLP develops a little earlier and is a bit faster than the 18z GFS run... which cuts down on the snow totals

This is the way

more like the HP needs to move in better tandem... cutter appears at 282 lol

lol

highs in the 10s/20s for Christmas Day per HH GFS

3-6 on Kuchera lol

lol

You wanted us to wake you up at 2:30/3:00 am?

06z GFS also says we enjoy single digits for lows Christmas night into Boxing Day... near 0 out west in the mountains... 10-15 in the cities Windchills also 0 to -10 for most... -10 to -15 out west in the mountains... near 0 in the cities

Clouded the future is... but 06z GFS... strong in the Force it is

06z GFS is a White Christmas with highs in the 20s for most... teens in the mountains. 06z GFS would suggest rain Christmas Eve changing to heavy wet snow... ending Christmas morning. 4-8" of snow. A Christmas miracle indeed

504DM thickness comes to visit for Christmas Day into Boxing Day... highs in the 20s for Christmas Day for just about everyone in the LWX CWA

I wouldn't mind the 06z GFS evolution this morning... cold front comes through and a trailing wave develops and runs up the cold front... nice track for us but not for NYC/SNE lol

So about the 06z GFS... within 7 days

Still some really light snow/flurries outside... dang. Been snowing for almost 2 hours here... just a quarter inch or so... but very nice