lulz... 00z GGEM says no snow for you, while the 00z EURO decides to go with a southern slider (re Dec 4-6). However, the 850s are cold enough Days 8-10
Though... Day 8-10 looks quite serviceable to me looking up top. Probably wrong... but looks like a nice PNA ridge where we want it by Day 10 with high heights in Greenland and looks like some decent blocking? Or am I confusing things?
00z EURO was better... but still too late and inland for most of us -- re Dec 5 threat. At 216 SLP is down by the AL/GA/FL border trifecta at 1003mb... at 240 its 981mb SLP is right near PHL. Makes me think EPS should have a few snowy solutions tonight
Week away from December, we are. Need a thread to discuss beginning of winter we do, yes yes. Mmmmm... Snow will it? Cold enough will it be? Discuss you must... or the Dark Side, win it will with rain and warm weather, yes yes
Anybody else watching the Sunday/Monday time period of next week? Looks mighty interesting re severe chances and rain-wise... and maybe winds too... even LWX in their afternoon AFD have been highlighting it
00z GGEM still has it.... highs 25-35 across the region Dec 1-2 after being in the 55-60 range on Nov 30
Looks like 00z EURO does too based off 850mb maps
Now that Ji has returned... would be nice to have @showmethesnow and @Bob Chill return. Hopefully when we get a nice threat within 7 days they will post again
Blake putting in some humor in the last advisory for Theta
Post-Tropical Cyclone Theta Discussion Number 23
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL302020
300 PM GMT Sun Nov 15 2020
Theta has run out of theta-e. The cyclone has been without
significant deep convection for many hours now and has been
gradually spinning down today. It no longer meets the qualifications
of a tropical cyclone, so this is the last advisory. The initial
wind speed is set to 25 kt per the latest scatterometer pass.
The low is meandering this morning. It is expected to be picked up
to the north-northeast by the next trough over the northeastern
Atlantic, along with an increase in forward speed. The remnants of
Theta should gradually lose strength due to strong shear, very dry
air and little instability before dissipating in a day or two.
Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
Forecasts issued by the UK Met Office under WMO header FQNT21 EGRR
and on the web at
metoffice.gov.uk/weather/specialist-forecasts/coast-and-sea/high-
seas-forecast/.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 15/1500Z 31.5N 18.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 16/0000Z 31.9N 18.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 16/1200Z 33.7N 17.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 17/0000Z 36.5N 16.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Blake