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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. Lots of lightning with that line Seems like it's disappearing some too
  2. yoda

    Winter 2022-23

    I only read the bolded
  3. Probably in the morning update tomorrow looks like reading the afternoon AFD .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... A slow moving cold front will impact our region Wednesday through early Thursday morning. A continued unstable environment with CAPE between 2000 and 3000 j/kg will interact with forcing provided by the frontal passage to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms on Wednesday. PW's are forecast to maximize between 2 and 2.5 inches with storm motions being relatively low. Based on the slow nature of the frontal passage along with current model trends, it seems the main storm/flooding threat will occur later in the day on Wednesday and continue into the late evenings periods. The combination of forcing from the front along with PW's around 2.3 inches and slow storm motions will lead to an increased threat for flooding on Wednesday. Although the flooding risk will be the bigger threat for Wednesday, a combination of good forcing along the front and favorable CAPE will likely mean there will be risk for strong to severe storms as well. Global and hires guidance still has some disagreements on the overall coverage/location of storms,but they all agree that there will a risk for rain rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour with storm totals above 4 inches possible. The threat for showers and thunderstorms capable of producing heavy rain will continue into the early morning periods of Thursday.
  4. I see RLX is throwing up FFWs... so I am guessing LWX may do so later today
  5. 93/73 at DCA at noon with a west wind... so I'd expect a 97/98 if no storms come through before 4pm IMO
  6. lol Easton at 11am 91/84 HX 118 https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=lwx&issuedby=LWX&product=HRR
  7. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 436 PM EDT MON AUG 08 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0415 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 N BLADENSBURG 38.95N 76.92W 08/08/2022 PRINCE GEORGES MD FIRE DEPT/RESCUE PRINCE GEORGES COUNTY FIRE AND RESCUE WAS DEPLOYING BOATS TO RESCUE PEOPLE FROM HIGH WATER ALONG MD-201 KENILWORTH AVENUE BETWEEN MD-450 ANNAPOLIS ROAD AND MD-410 RIVERDALE ROAD IN RIVERDALE. SEVEN VEHICLES WERE STRANDED. POLICE HAVE CLOSED THE ROAD. && EVENT NUMBER LWX2204777
  8. So Wednesday... I admit I was a bit caught off guard by the last sentence in this afternoons AFD A slow moving frontal boundary will approach our region late Tuesday and pass through the region on Wednesday. Shower activity will increase ahead of the boundary Tuesday evening and become more widespread on Wednesday. Debris clouds from morning convection will likely limit afternoon temperatures to the 80s but CAPE is still forecast to be between 1500 and 2500. PW`s are expected to remain elevated above 2 inches with storm motions becoming low around 5 knots later in the afternoon on Wednesday. Based on model soundings and guidance, the slowest storm motion along with the best lift will occur later in the afternoon on Wednesday and into the evening periods. The combination of high PW`s, low storm motion, CAPE above 2000 and the forcing from the front will lead to a threat for SVR weather and a bigger threat for flooding on Wednesday. The main limited factor on the SVR threat will be a lack of good shear which should prevent long lasting supercells.
  9. 92/76 HX 104 at 3pm... nice
  10. 87/78 at DCA at 2pm... toasty
  11. Looks like parts of DC got smoked looking at the LSRs
  12. Yes. Our family house was torn down and rebuilt... was in apartment while it was being rebuilt
  13. Where are you seeing that?
  14. Just went up for everyone but Cecil in the LWX CWA
  15. I'm a little surprised there isn't a FFW up
  16. I'm hoping for another overperforming day today. I guess you got over an inch of rain?
  17. I'd just chill at work after your computer loses battery in two hours lol... save your PTO
  18. Nighttime storms are fun... especially seeing the lightning from distant storms
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