yoda

Don't see the 27th threat at all on 12z GFS OP

Looks like mid 20s for highs on Christmas... lovely

At least it's in the teens Christmas morning? Lol

Lol 958mb in SW Quebec at 165

12z CMC 981mb SLP near Buffalo at 144... thunderstorms Thursday night?

Wintry mix for BR west at 123 NW VA/C MD and westward get a quick thump at 126

Cold Christmas Eve though in the 20s... sad trombone prize

Thursday night severe lol... 60 degrees

Nice warm heavy rain event!

12z ICON won't make any friends at 120

Just give me a couple inches. 1-2 is fine. Do i want more? Of course. But a few inches right before Christmas is an automatic win with cold air right behind

Another storm brewing for Christmas?? Nope, just some festive light snow

What a weird evolution of the 2nd part

Ripping snow in DC at 132 on 06z GFS

I believe the 06z ICON continues a good trend, no? The ridge out west is further east and the s/w isn't digging that far westward. Granted only goes out to 120 I'm comparing 06z 120 to 00z 114 h5 charts

I'd take this run all day. 6"+. We take

Runs up i95 corridor

Ridge is centered a little further west at 132 on 18z comparing to 12z 138 as the s/w is digging a tad further westward

Maybe a little further west with the digging s/w at 126 comparing 18z to 12z at 132

Guess they are heavily favoring GFS/GEFS?

Um, it has? From this afternoons LWX AFD: Broad, highly anomalous ridging will build into the Arctic, sending a deep upper low south into the northern Plains, Great Lakes and Ohio River Valley by Thursday. The collision of this cold upper low with warmer temperatures near the Gulf Stream will likely generate a strong area of low pressure in the vicinity of the East Coast. Details in track, strength, and timing remain uncertain, and overall confidence remains low; however, it should be noted that most long range guidance has been unusually consistent in hinting at a potential wintry precipitation scenario late next week. &&

Morshu approves the 12z GFS run

H5 was glorious at 186

180 h5 on 12z EPS looks nice