mreaves

Not me. When I saw “she gone” I just wanted to jump on the chance to post some Hall and Oates.

Damn you. That lead me in to the Curb rabbit hole. There goes my afternoon at work!

Because your kids are grown and out of the house?

You can really see the elevation impact on accumulation. I drive I-89 everyday and coming down the hill from Berlin to Montpelier and get a great view of the Worcester Range and bits of the Spine. The upper 1000' are almost completely white. It's like a line was drawn on the mountainsides.

Nice. That will be good for the Rangeley region.

Much less here away from the spine but pretty consistent flurry/light snow action over the last day or two. All snow is good snow, until April at least. By then I’m jonesing for some golf.

No, he just wanted to know if the driver had access to the JMA upper air charts

As soon as someone shows any interest, online or in person lol. A few people start clicking on it and all of a sudden the price goes up, just like plane tickets.

Made reservations in Millinocket for the weekend. I realize they don’t have much more snow than we do right now but I’m going to give it a go anyway. I’ve never been past Augusta so it will be great to see new country. I used to love watching that logging show that was based there so even if the riding isn’t great, I’m sure we’ll have a good time.

My closest HD is a minimum of 45 minutes away

I have been art my office since 4:00 or so. Wasn't doing anything when I got here but my wife just texted that the roads are covered at home. Guess I should look out the windows once in a while.

@Dryslot (or any other Mainers) got the go ahead from the wife to head up next weekend. Thinking of Millinocket. How's the snow there? I know it would be better up in the county but Milli would be a bit shorter of a drive and seems like a decent split between the crowds of Rangeley and the County.

Isn’t some of it the impact though? A lot fewer people in AK and the upper Midwest than in the east coast megalopolis. It’s the same thing here somewhat. Lots fewer posters in NNE than SNE so notable events In NNE receive less “coverage” than ones in SNE. Ray is a valuable and great poster but he personifies this. Anything in moose fart land just doesn’t pop up on his radar.

Started as some sleety rain in Williston and the car thermo topped out at 37F in Jonesville on the way home. Light sleet from Waterbury until just before Exit 6 on 89, which is about 1400’-1450’ in elevation. Here at home (1250’) it was a messy mix last time I looked out.

I hope everything turns out ok Gene. Is he at Dartmouth? That’s a top notch facility. Best of luck.

I have a friend who rides that area and he said basically the same thing, that it sounds like they got outsides the staked trail and too close to an inlet area. I hate riding on ice and avoid it if at all possible. It;s been more than 10 years since this happened and since that time most ice crossings in the state have been done away with. https://www.suncommunitynews.com/articles/the-sun/three-die-in-snowmobile-accident-on-frozen-lake/ http://lakeice.squarespace.com/lake-dunmore-tragedy/

For us, it's the lack of retention is has been the issue

And that was just for the microbrews you brought home!

I think anywhere in western Maine is going to be overrun with sleds because of proximity to NH. Many people from further away from the state line that I have talked to over the years at the snowmobile show haven't even been all that aware there is an open weekend. I'd probably want to get to at least Millinocket. I haven't been that far up. I'm still unsure whether we are going to do it though.

May have to travel next weekend to Maine for the open weekend. Sleds are already on the trailer and may not be taken off this weekend. I do like to see the NAM reduce qpf output. I can at least have something to tell myself is a positive sign.

I am hoping that we don't go back to square one as Lava Rock suggests, though I know my location is slightly better to withstand this crappy system. BTV seems to think we get a sloppy mix SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 435 AM EST Thursday...Still anticipate a wintry event to occur over the weekend. Model guidance continues to be in disagreement with the details, however. Low pressure across the Great Lakes will give way to a secondary low which will develop over the Mid Atlantic states, then lift north or northeast. The question will be exactly where and when this secondary low tracks and how quickly its cold air moves into our area. This has big implications on precip type and amounts. Warm advection precip will move in during the day Saturday, becoming heaviest during the evening hours as a band of strong frontogenetical forcing lifts across the region. The NAM takes the secondary low to our south, while the GFS and CMC actually lift northward through NY, keeping it to our west. The NAM solution would mean a wintry mix of snow, freezing rain, and rain as east- southeast flow would keep low-level cold air locked up on the eastern side of the Greens and portions of the Adirondacks. However, it should be noted that the warm nose aloft could well be eroded away as evaporational cooling brings the temp aloft down to the wet- bulb temperature which would mean more of a rain/snow type of profile. Meanwhile, the the CMC and GFS solutions would mean snow going to rain with perhaps just a bit of freezing rain or sleet mixed in at the transition. Also noted that the SREF p-type plumes are indicating the most likely p-type east of the Greens will be rain, followed closely by freezing rain at 30-35%. Given all this...have stayed with mainly a rain/snow precip type based on surface temps, but added a slight chance of freezing rain for areas below 32F. This and the warmer GFS and CMC solutions ended up cutting back on snow amounts; now anticipate 2 to 4 inches across much of northern NY where the colder air is more likely to hang in. Much of VT would get 1 to 3 inches of snow, with higher amounts in the higher terrain in the south central Greens. The aforementioned east-southeast flow would result in shadowing in the Northeast Kingdom, so for now expect an inch or less there. Regardless of where the low tracks, colder air will spread from west to east on Sunday once the secondary moves to our east. Flow turns to the north-northwest, which will allow snow showers to become focused along the western slopes of the higher terrain. Temperatures through this entire period will likely be within 5 degrees of freezing, making the precip type and amount forecast even more challenging. Lots of details still need to be ironed out, so stay tuned for later forecasts.

That would be Braaaap braaaap kind sir.

BTV/Waterbury/Montpelier corridor in VT. Probably somewhere closer to BTV

Love to do that over again as long as the other thing that happened to me doesn’t happen again. My boiler died and the service guys had a hell of a time getting the new one in the basement.