sojitodd

Ever closer to Louisiana...

Well I am glad they are ok and turned around-it just isn't worth it when they run into conditions like that. We know it is bad-we don't need anymore info if it leads to a situation like this.

This is what I am dreading. Don't forget the landslides.

Yes this! I need to go to bed but I want to watch this thing...who would have thought in November... Hello! to all the guests! I stick with 914 and 150 peak(yet to come).

So are our guesses for this just this pass or any pass(or estimate)? Does the show still go on?

It looks a bit farther South, as if it is determined to make a direct hit on the only large town on the coast.

914 to 917 is my guess(might as well join the crowd).

It looks like the eye is directly east of that island per the post directly preceding yours...and that would put it only about 20 miles north of Puerto Cabezas. It had better not drift further to the southwest or it could go right over them. It will probably be bad enough as it is.

Yeah I was just thinking about any in the Atlantic Basin. You are right I think several have been lost in the Pacific. Let's hope this does not repeat itself and they stay safe.

I think in Hurricane Janet in 1955?

Well they already had a deadly mudslide in El Salvador on October 29th that killed at least ten people. The cause is listed as excessive rainfall on already saturated soil. I don't know how saturated the soils in the overall area are though, but it could be very bad I imagine. *I just happened to see this when looking at a landslide blog I view occasionally ... it is an interesting blog and I am sure it will have an in depth account of any landslides or debris flows caused by Eta. Hope it alright to post a link here: https://blogs.agu.org/landslideblog/

It looks absolutely stunning right now. Eta wins Miss/Mr Photogenic Hurricane for this season as far as I am concerned. It is both beautiful and very foreboding at the same time.

Is someone eventually going to start a banter thread for this storm so we can talk about exactly when it heads for Louisiana? Seriously though I am concerned about the flooding potential in Honduras with this. When they mention 25 and possibly up to 35 inches of rainfall I get flashbacks to Mitch.

These are some scary rainfall amounts, especially for Honduras.

Just about the last thing I expected to hear this early evening is tornado sirens going off. *sigh* There will be no tornado.

Yeah I see that the chances of significant rainfall for me are going down...oh well.

Can this rain please then just skip under Indy if want to keep this dry spell but then move up and give me a good one or two inches? Dang.

When again is this supposed to turn more to the north and then northeast? Also that post above with the last frame the hurricane looks about as good as it has looked.

Up to 100mph now.

C'mon now I knew where it was and all and recognized the coast but that blue line is not the best representation of the Mexican coast. But again, I also realized...what other coastline would it be? lol. Y'all are so petty to each other on here sometimes. lol I also agree that there are plenty of X, Y, and Z names and they should be used before we...uh...go Greek and all.

Per the CDC, it is only severe or morbid obesity, or a BMI over 40. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/need-extra-precautions/people-at-higher-risk.html Otherwise if it was just ten or 20 pounds overweight most of the population would seem to qualify. And while this is "higher risk" I would assume that would correlate with "pre-existing condition" and all.

It is so damn sad that so many people who survived this horrific tornado are now succumbing to their injuries. I hope this is about the last of it, and I hope nearly everybody else who is injured is able to pull through and recover. Just a damn shame, especially for the families and friends. I guess this is to be expected with this tornado, but it still sucks.

Thanks for this reply JoMo. These are all good explanations imo and really help one to understand this whole tragedy a little better.

I wouldn't have felt uncomfortable either, except for including it with the other stuff I posted. I was thinking of making a separate post about it, and then saw that you had already done just that. I just did not want to combine the two(the technical aspects and the human impact stuff) in the same post. To me this is just a huge historical event-the deadliest single tornado in 64 years(probably since 1936 since the Woodward tornado was probably separate tornadoes imo)- just an extraordinary event and I want to know as much as I can about it. No single community has suffered this kind of loss of life since Tupelo and Gainesville in 1936-75 years! And it was not a 'mass casualty at a single facility' thing-it was just a massive tornado tearing through a town. Why was it so deadly-was it just that much stronger? I think it just has to be. Especially when so many other towns have been hit by large tornadoes since the thirties and nothing really approaches this one except for maybe Woodward and a few in the fifties.

I was going to include this in my last response and thought better of it, and now here you come and do it for me. lol. I didn't want to seem insensitive given the other stuff I was discussing, but yeah, I still want to know that info too. I just think it has to be over 210...given the amount of destruction and the death toll, plus that nine story hospital shifting on it's foundation(and being built to withstand 300mph winds and being not in the middle of the damage path) Are they still looking through the area to look for any signs of damage that would likely to have resulted from winds in excess of 210 mph?-I am not sure what that would be though, actually..