Tatamy

Storm weakened as it passed Allentown. It’s done here with patches of blue sky overhead. 0.45” with this round.

Heavy rain and continuous thunder ongoing here. Lightning is CTC. You folks in western NJ need to watch out for this activity.

Continuing to hear nonstop thunder with the approaching storm. Lightning is CTC at the moment.

I am in Bethlehem Twp. PA, waiting on that Tornado warned cell just to my SW. Getting nonstop thunder at the moment. It is going to be a very interesting day...

Nothing dramatic with this line as it passes through here. No strong winds or torrential downpours. The line that passed through late last evening was much more impressive- especially in terms of the downpours associated with it. Lightning here is mainly CTC.

We are off to a good start tonight with the downpours moving through this area. Have picked up 0.52” with ponding on the roadways.

The downpours moving East from the Lehigh Valley into western NJ mean business. We just picked up a quick 0.52”. Hopefully these can hold together as they work further to the East.

With some mixing and downsloping from the Poconos off to my north and west the dew point has actually dropped some this afternoon and is now down to 68. Big difference from the 78 that has been reached at many places out on the south shore.

The station at Cherry Grove on Fire Island just measured a gust to 46 mph with the squall passing out towards the ocean.

Recent Winds along the barrier beach: Jones Beach 40 mph Oak Beach 33 mph Cherry Grove 33 mph

12z Euro says yes.

Did they decide where he was going to do his live shots from?

There has been a lot of talk about the hype regarding this storm. One of the things that I like to track is when it actually dawns on the populace down in S Florida that this threat is for real. I measure that by looking at the traffic apps showing highway speed conditions. In other storms I have seen those interstates backed up for hundreds of miles as people flee the storm. So far I have not seen any sign of the expected mass exodus on the highways down there. My thinking is that the West Palm Beach area is at the greatest risk of a direct hit early next week. If you or your friends or family are even considering leaving the area ahead of the storm I would not wait too much longer. My two cents anyways.

I would go with 2/78 and 1/16. 2/78 was especially dramatic with high winds and low near zero visibility’s for hours on end along with 30” of snow. 1/16 also brought 30” of snow with very high rates. As dramatic as Boxing Day was its most significant impacts were felt in eastern NJ and places to the north and east of there in the region. We only had a couple of inches from that one here.

I live in the Lehigh Valley of Pennsylvania. We had a snowstorm on 11/15. Similar to this situation the models were showing heavy amounts for my area. The FV3 consistently showed 10”+ for me for 2 - 3 days prior. The Mets blew them off. The model outputs were contaminated by sleet they said. We were forecasted to get 1-3” by the NWS office. On the 15th as the storm was getting underway at 12pm and I was out on my back deck photographing the arrival of a wall of snow we were upgraded to a WSW. By 6pm we were at 8 1/2” of snow before we changed over to sleet. We picked up another 1 1/2” by the next morning to bring the storm total up to 10”. The bottom line is those who are blowing off these model outputs do so at their own risk. The FV3 proved to be correct. Many many people spent the night out on the highway because they could not get home.

Looked at the traffic map this evening and there is a lot of heavy traffic going south down through VA on I-95 and I-81. I am guessing that this is in part related to the eclipse. Hotels all over SC are booked in anticipation of this event.