Don’t feel bad. My weather station on Fire Island 100 yds from the ocean was frozen since midnight. It only thawed a couple of hours ago. I have a weather station and have seen it freeze however to have one at the ocean front and see this happen was quite unusual. It’s very rare that the wind is light enough for this to happen at the ocean front.
Hi Res models have been hitting on the potential with this system for west of the city for a couple of days now. HRRR, RRFS, and RAP in particular were aggressive with this system. Overperformer for those areas.
My station out at Fire Island popped up to the 40s earlier. Since 2:00 PM when the wind subsided and backed around from SW to W the air temperature has dropped 6 degrees to 36 and the DP down 4 degrees to 31. No big ocean warming looks to happen at this point.
I saw one of these gradient type events two years ago with the I78 death band. Four miles separated 6” amounts from 10” amounts. You cannot underestimate these gradient events.
Stations right along the south shore of LI have just seen a jump in temperatures to the mid 30s along with a wind shift to the south. Not sure how this plays into some of the forecasts calling for precipitation starting as rain in immediate coastal areas.
Current observation at Wakefield is Heavy Snow with 1/4 mile visibility. They have a WSW with expected totals between 3-6”. Looks like the corridor between Richmond and Newport News gets the JP.
I just saw that on traffic cams in the area between Allentown and Reading. Precip looks like a mix of snow and sleet in that area. I have a snow/sleet mix here (Bethlehem Twp.) after a brief transition to sleet. Surface temps are going nowhere (29/27). Roads will be quite nasty.