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Everything posted by Tatamy
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I got a half inch of slop yesterday. No worries because I knew it wasn’t going to produce out here. We all know that we’re not going to get snow from every system that comes. I am very happy that you folks in the city and on the island did well with it. In any case this week looks quite good.
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We have actually flipped over to light snow here. Looks like just enough to cover up the sleet and ice from last night. Roads are very treacherous. 29 F
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Freezing drizzle here with 28F. Kudos to the RGEM / Euro for predicting the snow burst that set up over the Metro area. For me the NAM gets the win with no snow and sleet and freezing rain only. I got about 0.25” of sleet and ice. I actually just woke up to the sound of the salt truck in my neighborhood. Many of the models were predicting a tight gradient between snow and no snow over western NJ and that turned out to be the case.
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As of 6 PM you have to be north of I80 if you want to find snow in PA. The only exception is Fort Indiantown Gap which is reporting flurries. Everyone else is reporting ice / sleet/ wintry mix or rain. All Pittsburgh reporting sites are reporting thunderstorms.
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As of 5PM Johnstown which is an elevated location was reporting Freezing rain. Pittsburgh Intl was reporting a thunderstorm… lol. This is certainly a dynamic system.
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I am bare here. I am figuring maybe a half inch of sleet with some ice to boot here.
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18z NAM is way north with the snow now. HRRR is starting to move north also. I wish you guys near the city a lot of luck with the snow. I agree with the potential for major sleet impacts in much of the area. This is very similar to what happened the other day.
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Most people blew off the NAM with the last event and what happened? Conversely the HRRR was very aggressive with snow amounts and ended up scaling these back just as the precipitation arrived. I would go with the NAM.
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Thanks for posting an ensemble mean. It amazes me how often colorful clown maps of extended range OP runs are posted. There are people here who really believe that it is part of our climatic mean that we will see one or more KU storms every winter.
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Not necessarily. There was a lot of confluence over NE as part of the synoptic setup. It was known at the time that the greatest snow amounts with PD 1 would be south and west of the city.
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We had 7.3” on the north shore at East Northport where I lived at the time during PD 1. Large parts of LI Sound were frozen over at the time so that source of moisture was not readily available.