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Tatamy

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Everything posted by Tatamy

  1. Tatamy
    Storm total now up to 3”. 9/6. Visibility 1/4 mile.
  2. Tatamy
    Changeover line is in southern DE.
  3. Tatamy
    Update: Heavy snow; Visibility 1/4 mile
  4. Tatamy
    Light snow; 9/6. Visibility 3/4 mile; 1 1/2” new
  5. Tatamy
    It’s being retired.
  6. Tatamy
    Model outputs that I have been seeing show the snow arriving as light in the predawn hours Sunday and then ramping up. Regarding the GPS do you really think it will verify?
  7. Tatamy
    Big time surge of Arctic air this evening. Temperature has dropped 25 degrees since mid-afternoon. Down to 10 with a DP of-10
  8. Tatamy
    Yeah Icon was fine.
  9. Tatamy
    Check out the precip types on that model (RRFS). The totals shown do not match that or reflect the temperatures aloft. The snow totals are way overstated. They are basically another NAM - maybe worse.
  10. Tatamy
    Where I was in the Lehigh Valley we had 5 degrees and pouring rain. I have never seen anything like that.
  11. Tatamy
    Snowman - Totally agree. I am following the RDPS closely as that is another good Meso.
  12. Tatamy
    06z GFS
  13. Tatamy
    The RDPS is also holding serve. The RRFA-S is actually improved over its 0z run. The only bad boy from 06z so far has been the NAM.
  14. Tatamy
    They had the emergency alert tones coming on over the radio when the updates were being provided for that storm. It seemed a bit creepy.
  15. Tatamy
    Feel better- that’s nasty.
  16. Tatamy
    Stores out here have been out of deicing pellets for days now.
  17. Tatamy
    The NAM has a big time warm nose at 750 mb at 84 hours at 12z just to the south and west of the city.
  18. Tatamy
    Look at the temps at 700mb and 850mb. It gives a different picture of the event precip wise. Be sure to look at 96 and 102 hours.
  19. Tatamy
    We do need to watch the position of the 850 mb low on the Euro AI. These screenshots are from 12z and 18z. It’s getting further north and that will act to promote mid level warming.
  20. Tatamy
    18z Euro has a front end thump of 7-10” for coastal areas before going to a lighter wintry mix. Inland areas get 10-15”+. The main feature is SLP that is tucked into the Delmarva and southern NJ coast. This is still a significant storm for the area.
  21. Tatamy
    No mixing issues shown on this model in the NY Metro area.
  22. Tatamy
    That’s nuts. I don’t want five feet of snow in my neighborhood.
  23. Tatamy
    There’s actually a burst of snow at the end.
  24. Tatamy
    FWIW the CMC has a history of being on the north side of the guidance at this stage.
  25. Tatamy
    Ukie is a much different evolution as compared to 0Z. It does mix with a little sleet but is still a big hit.
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